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Performative learning addresses the increasingly pervasive situations in which algorithmic decisions may induce changes in the data distribution as a consequence of their public deployment. We propose a novel view in which these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Edwige Cyffers , Muni Sreenivas Pydi , Jamal Atif , Olivier Cappé

Conformal Predictive Systems (CPS) offer a versatile framework for constructing predictive distributions, allowing for calibrated inference and informative decision-making. However, their applicability has been limited to scenarios adhering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Jef Jonkers , Glenn Van Wallendael , Luc Duchateau , Sofie Van Hoecke

Machine learning algorithms with empirical risk minimization are vulnerable under distributional shifts due to the greedy adoption of all the correlations found in training data. Recently, there are robust learning methods aiming at this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyan Shen , Peng Cui , Linjun Zhou , Kun Kuang , Bo Li , Yishi Lin

Most of previous machine learning algorithms are proposed based on the i.i.d. hypothesis. However, this ideal assumption is often violated in real applications, where selection bias may arise between training and testing process. Moreover,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-24 Zheyan Shen , Peng Cui , Kun Kuang , Bo Li , Peixuan Chen

Standard supervised learning breaks down under data distribution shift. However, the principle of independent causal mechanisms (ICM, Peters et al. (2017)) can turn this weakness into an opportunity: one can take advantage of distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Jens Müller , Robert Schmier , Lynton Ardizzone , Carsten Rother , Ullrich Köthe

Instance-dependent label noise is realistic but rather challenging, where the label-corruption process depends on instances directly. It causes a severe distribution shift between the distributions of training and test data, which impairs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Manyi Zhang , Yuxin Ren , Zihao Wang , Chun Yuan

We discuss recently developed methods that quantify the stability and generalizability of statistical findings under distributional changes. In many practical problems, the data is not drawn i.i.d. from the target population. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann

Real-world learning tasks often encounter uncertainty due to covariate shift and noisy or inconsistent labels. However, existing robust learning methods merge these effects into a single distributional uncertainty set. In this work, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Varun Venkatesh , Eyke Hüllermeier , Bernd Bischl , Mina Rezaei

Covariate distribution shifts and adversarial perturbations present robustness challenges to the conventional statistical learning framework: mild shifts in the test covariate distribution can significantly affect the performance of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 Tengyuan Liang

Training models that perform well under distribution shifts is a central challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a modeling framework where, in addition to training data, we have partial structural knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Tobias Sutter , Andreas Krause , Daniel Kuhn

We consider robustness to distribution shifts in the context of diagnostic models in healthcare, where the prediction target $Y$, e.g., the presence of a disease, is causally upstream of the observations $X$, e.g., a biomarker. Distribution…

Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often include covariates in their specifications to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

Under distribution shift (DS) where the training data distribution differs from the test one, a powerful technique is importance weighting (IW) which handles DS in two separate steps: weight estimation (WE) estimates the test-over-training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Tongtong Fang , Nan Lu , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

While the traditional formulation of machine learning tasks is in terms of performance on average, in practice we are often interested in how well a trained model performs on rare or difficult data points at test time. To achieve more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Matthew J. Holland , Toma Hamada

We often seek to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on a particular outcome in both randomized and observational settings. One such estimation method is the covariate-adjusted residuals estimator, which was designed for individually…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-28 Stephen A. Lauer , Nicholas G. Reich , Laura B. Balzer

An emerging problem in trustworthy machine learning is to train models that produce robust interpretations for their predictions. We take a step towards solving this problem through the lens of axiomatic attribution of neural networks. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Jiefeng Chen , Xi Wu , Vaibhav Rastogi , Yingyu Liang , Somesh Jha

The covariate shift is a challenging problem in supervised learning that results from the discrepancy between the training and test distributions. An effective approach which recently drew a considerable attention in the research community…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-27 Yun-Qian Miao , Ahmed K. Farahat , Mohamed S. Kamel

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

The endeavor to preserve the generalization of a fair and invariant classifier across domains, especially in the presence of distribution shifts, becomes a significant and intricate challenge in machine learning. In response to this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Chen Zhao , Kai Jiang , Xintao Wu , Haoliang Wang , Latifur Khan , Christan Grant , Feng Chen

As supervised learning still dominates most AI applications, test-time performance is often unexpected. Specifically, a shift of the input covariates, caused by typical nuisances like background-noise, illumination variations or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Tomer Cohen , Noy Shulman , Hai Morgenstern , Roey Mechrez , Erez Farhan