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We consider the multivariate max-linear regression problem where the model parameters $\boldsymbol{\beta}_{1},\dotsc,\boldsymbol{\beta}_{k}\in\mathbb{R}^{p}$ need to be estimated from $n$ independent samples of the (noisy) observations $y =…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Seonho Kim , Sohail Bahmani , Kiryung Lee

We study the problem of parameter estimation for time-series possessing two, widely separated, characteristic time scales. The aim is to understand situations where it is desirable to fit a homogenized singlescale model to such multiscale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-11 G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

In structured prediction problems where we have indirect supervision of the output, maximum marginal likelihood faces two computational obstacles: non-convexity of the objective and intractability of even a single gradient computation. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-11 Aditi Raghunathan , Roy Frostig , John Duchi , Percy Liang

We consider a finite mixture model with varying mixing probabilities. Linear regression models are assumed for observed variables with coefficients depending on the mixture component the observed subject belongs to. A modification of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Daryna Liubashenko , Rostyslav Maiboroda

We consider a class of semiparametric regression models which are one-parameter extensions of the Cox [J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 (1972) 187-220] model for right-censored univariate failure times. These models assume that the hazard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Bee Leng Lee , Jason P. Fine

We highlight that match fixed effects, represented by the coefficients of interaction terms involving dummy variables for two elements, lack identification without specific restrictions on parameters. Consequently, the coefficients…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-22 Suguru Otani , Tohya Sugano

Functional data present as functions or curves possessing a spatial or temporal component. These components by nature have a fixed observational domain. Consequently, any asymptotic investigation requires modelling the increased correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Cory W. Natoli , Edward D. White , Beau A. Nunnally , Alex J. Gutman , Raymond R. Hill

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Understanding statistical inference under possibly non-sparse high-dimensional models has gained much interest recently. For a given component of the regression coefficient, we show that the difficulty of the problem depends on the sparsity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-22 Jelena Bradic , Jianqing Fan , Yinchu Zhu

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Standard penalized methods of variable selection and parameter estimation rely on the magnitude of coefficient estimates to decide which variables to include in the final model. However, coefficient estimates are unreliable when the design…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jonathan P Williams , Jan Hannig

We study the fundamental tradeoffs between statistical accuracy and computational tractability in the analysis of high dimensional heterogeneous data. As examples, we study sparse Gaussian mixture model, mixture of sparse linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

Hypoelliptic diffusion processes can be used to model a variety of phenomena in applications ranging from molecular dynamics to audio signal analysis. We study parameter estimation for such processes in situations where we observe some…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-30 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , P. Wiberg

We prove identifiability of parameters for a broad class of random graph mixture models. These models are characterized by a partition of the set of graph nodes into latent (unobservable) groups. The connectivities between nodes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

We study the frontier between learnable and unlearnable hidden Markov models (HMMs). HMMs are flexible tools for clustering dependent data coming from unknown populations. The model parameters are known to be fully identifiable (up to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Kweku Abraham , Zacharie Naulet , Elisabeth Gassiat

Low-variance gradient estimation is crucial for learning directed graphical models parameterized by neural networks, where the reparameterization trick is widely used for those with continuous variables. While this technique gives…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-07 Seiya Tokui , Issei sato

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…