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Nonparametric estimation of a mixing density based on observations from the corresponding mixture is a challenging statistical problem. This paper surveys the literature on a fast, recursive estimator based on the predictive recursion…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Ryan Martin

Entropy notions for $\varepsilon$-incremental practical stability and incremental stability of deterministic nonlinear systems under disturbances are introduced. The entropy notions are constructed via a set of points in state space which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Michelle S. Chong

Regression on observational data can fail to capture a causal relationship in the presence of unobserved confounding. Confounding strength measures this mismatch, but estimating it requires itself additional assumptions. A common assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-04 Luca Rendsburg , Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar , Ulrike von Luxburg

We introduce the problem of estimation of the parameters of a dynamically selected population in an infinite sequence of random variables and provide its application in the statistical inference based on record values from a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Morteza Amini , Nader Nematollahi

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

In this work we discuss the problem of selecting suitable approximators from families of parameterized elementary functions that are known to be dense in a Hilbert space of functions. We consider and analyze published procedures, both…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-09-01 Alexander N. Gorban , Ivan Yu. Tyukin , Danil V. Prokhorov , Konstantin I. Sofeikov

Study samples often differ from the target populations of inference and policy decisions in non-random ways. Researchers typically believe that such departures from random sampling -- due to changes in the population over time and space, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Tamara Broderick , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager

We want to reconstruct a signal based on inhomogeneous data (the amount of data can vary strongly), using the model of regression with a random design. Our aim is to understand the consequences of inhomogeneity on the accuracy of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

A key challenge for robotic systems is to figure out the behavior of another agent. The capability to draw correct inferences is crucial to derive human behavior from examples. Processing correct inferences is especially challenging when…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Alexander Wich , Holger Schultheis , Michael Beetz

We extend observability metrics based on the empirical observability Gramian from deterministic nonlinear systems to nonlinear stochastic systems in order to capture the impact of process noise on observability. We demonstrate that the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-16 Nathan Powel , Kristi A. Morgansen

We formulate, and present a numerical method for solving, an inverse problem for inferring parameters of a deterministic model from stochastic observational data (quantities of interest). The solution, given as a probability measure, is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey

In this paper we provide a flexible framework allowing for a unified study of time consistency of risk measures and performance measures (also known as acceptability indices). The proposed framework not only integrates existing forms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera

A cluster tree provides a highly-interpretable summary of a density function by representing the hierarchy of its high-density clusters. It is estimated using the empirical tree, which is the cluster tree constructed from a density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Jisu Kim , Yen-Chi Chen , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

Quantum-enhanced measurements exploit quantum mechanical effects to provide ultra-precise estimates of physical variables for use in advanced technologies, such as frequency calibration of atomic clocks, gravitational waves detection, and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-07-28 J. Calsamiglia , B. Gendra , R. Munoz-Tapia , E. Bagan

We give improved constants for data dependent and variance sensitive confidence bounds, called empirical Bernstein bounds, and extend these inequalities to hold uniformly over classes of functionswhose growth function is polynomial in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-07-23 Andreas Maurer , Massimiliano Pontil

Stochastic dominance has not been too employed in practice due to its important limitations. To increase its versatility, the concept has recently been adapted by introducing various indices that measure the degree to which one probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matran

In this article, we discuss the optimal allocation problem in an experiment when a regression model is used for statistical analysis. Monotonic convergence for a general class of multiplicative algorithms for $D$-optimality has been…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-28 Wei Gao , Ping Shing Chan , Hon Keung Tony Ng , Xiaolei Lu

We address the problem of inferring the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome across space, using observational data. The data is possibly subject to unmeasured confounding variables which, in a standard approach, must be adjusted for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-04 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

We investigate the lifetime of dynamical regimes under the impact of noise motivated by low-dimensional models of the atmosphere. One may expect that the inclusion of noise tends to make the system leave prescribed regions of the state…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Henry Schoeller , Robin Chemnitz , Péter Koltai , Maximilian Engel , Stephan Pfahl