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We study the identification and estimation of structural parameters in dynamic panel data logit models where decisions are forward-looking and the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and observable state variables is…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Victor Aguirregabiria , Jiaying Gu , Yao Luo

Increased use of sensor signals from wearable devices as rich sources of physiological data has sparked growing interest in developing health monitoring systems to identify changes in an individual's health profile. Indeed, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Magda Amiridi , Gregory Darnell , Sean Jewell

This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Interpretability has become a necessary feature for machine learning models deployed in critical scenarios, e.g. legal system, healthcare. In these situations, algorithmic decisions may have (potentially negative) long-lasting effects on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 An-phi Nguyen , Maria Rodriguez Martinez

Estimating long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational and short-term experimental data is a crucial but challenging problem in many real-world scenarios. In existing methods, several ideal assumptions, e.g. latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Weilin Chen , Zeqin Yang , Zijian Li , Peng Zhen , Jiecheng Guo

Real-world decision-making, from tax compliance assessment to medical diagnosis, requires aggregating multiple noisy and potentially contradictory evidence sources. Existing approaches either lack explicit uncertainty quantification (neural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Aliyu Agboola Alege

As language models (LMs) deliver increasing performance on a range of NLP tasks, probing classifiers have become an indispensable technique in the effort to better understand their inner workings. A typical setup involves (1) defining an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Charles Jin , Martin Rinard

There is wide agreement on the importance of implementation data from randomized effectiveness studies in behavioral science; however, there are few methods available to incorporate these data into causal models, especially when they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-17 Sooyong Lee , Adam C Sales , Hyeon-Ah Kang , Tiffany A. Whittaker

Structured output from large language models (LLMs) has enhanced efficiency in processing generated information and is increasingly adopted in industrial applications. Prior studies have investigated the impact of structured output on LLMs'…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Han Yuan , Yue Zhao , Li Zhang , Wuqiong Luo , Zheng Ma

We present a new estimator for causal effects with panel data that builds on insights behind the widely used difference in differences and synthetic control methods. Relative to these methods we find, both theoretically and empirically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Susan Athey , David A. Hirshberg , Guido W. Imbens , Stefan Wager

Disentangled representation learning offers useful properties such as dimension reduction and interpretability, which are essential to modern deep learning approaches. Although deep learning techniques have been widely applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Sichen Zhao , Wei Shao , Jeffrey Chan , Flora D. Salim

Complex, multivariable systems are often analyzed by grouping their constituent units into components, sometimes referred to as latent features, which afford physical or biological interpretation. However, a priori many different types of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-01 Philipp Fleig , Ilya Nemenman

This paper develops a novel method to estimate a latent factor model for a large target panel with missing observations by optimally using the information from auxiliary panel data sets. We refer to our estimator as target-PCA. Transfer…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-31 Junting Duan , Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong

This paper establishes the theoretical and practical foundations for using Large Language Models (LLMs) as measurement instruments for latent economic variables -- specifically variables that describe the cognitive content of occupational…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-06 Cristian Espinal Maya

We consider the linear causal representation learning setting where we observe a linear mixing of $d$ unknown latent factors, which follow a linear structural causal model. Recent work has shown that it is possible to recover the latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Tianyu Chen , Kevin Bello , Francesco Locatello , Bryon Aragam , Pradeep Ravikumar

This paper proposes a general multiple imputation approach for analyzing large-scale data with missing values. An imputation model is derived from a joint distribution induced by a latent variable model, which can flexibly capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen , Jouni Kuha

In this paper, we study inference for high-dimensional data characterized by small sample sizes relative to the dimension of the data. In particular, we provide an infinite-dimensional framework to study statistical models that involve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-25 Jim Kuelbs , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

Bayesian sparse factor models have proven useful for characterizing dependence in multivariate data, but scaling computation to large numbers of samples and dimensions is problematic. We propose expandable factor analysis for scalable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Barbara E. Engelhardt , David B. Dunson

Many real-world datasets contain hidden structure that cannot be detected by simple linear correlations between input features. For example, latent factors may influence the data in a coordinated way, even though their effect is invisible…

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