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This paper presents a new approach to automatically discovering accurate models of complex time series data. Working within a Bayesian nonparametric prior over a symbolic space of Gaussian process time series models, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Feras A. Saad , Brian J. Patton , Matthew D. Hoffman , Rif A. Saurous , Vikash K. Mansinghka

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon

We show how to speed up Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) for Bayesian inference in large data problems by data subsampling. SMC sequentially updates a cloud of particles through a sequence of distributions, beginning with a distribution that is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-25 David Gunawan , Khue-Dung Dang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran

An adaptive traffic signal controller (ATSC) combined with a connected vehicle (CV) concept uses real-time vehicle trajectory data to regulate green time and has the ability to reduce intersection waiting time significantly and thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-12 Sagar Dasgupta , Courtland Hollis , Mizanur Rahman , Travis Atkison

In this paper, quickest detection of false data injection attack on remote state estimation is considered. A set of $N$ sensors make noisy linear observations of a discrete-time linear process with Gaussian noise, and report the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Akanshu Gupta , Abhinava Sikdar , Arpan Chattopadhyay

Continuous-time random disturbances from the renewable generation pose a significant impact on power system dynamic behavior. In evaluating this impact, the disturbances must be considered as continuous-time random processes instead of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Xiaoshuang Chen , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

An MPC controller uses a model of the dynamical system to plan an optimal control strategy for a finite horizon, which makes its performance intrinsically tied to the quality of the model. When faults occur, the compromised model will…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 David Laranjinho , Daniel Silvestre

This article presents a distributed model-predictive control (MPC) design for real-time voltage control in power systems, including an online method to estimate the bus admittance matrix $\mathbf{Y}$ to let it be time-varying and unknown a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-06 Ramij R. Hossain , Ratnesh Kumar

One of the significant challenges that smart grid networks face is cyber-security. Several studies have been conducted to highlight those security challenges. However, the majority of these surveys classify attacks based on the security…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Tala Talaei Khoei , Hadjar Ould Slimane , Naima Kaabouch

Motivated by the recent cyber attack on the Ukrainian power grid, we study cyber attacks on power grids that affect both the physical infrastructure and the data at the control center. In particular, we assume that an adversary attacks an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Saleh Soltan , Mihalis Yannakakis , Gil Zussman

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are not only a popular tool in the analysis of state space models, but offer an alternative to MCMC in situations where Bayesian inference must proceed via simulation. This paper introduces a new SMC…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-11 Paul Fearnhead , Benjamin M. Taylor

Coordinated stealth attacks are a serious cybersecurity threat to distributed generation systems because they modify control and measurement signals while remaining close to normal behavior, making them difficult to detect using standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Osasumwen Cedric Ogiesoba-Eguakun , Suman Rath

Many works have studied the efficacy of state machines for detecting anomalies within NetFlows. These works typically learn a model from unlabeled data and compute anomaly scores for arbitrary traces based on their likelihood of occurrence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Clinton Cao , Agathe Blaise , Annibale Panichella , Sicco Verwer

The rapid expansion of Internet of Things (IoT) devices has increased the risk of cyber-attacks, making effective detection essential for securing IoT networks. This work introduces a novel approach combining Self-Organizing Maps (SOMs),…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Ahmed Bensaoud , Jugal Kalita

This paper presents a new framework of identifying a series of cyber data attacks on power system synchrophasor measurements. We focus on detecting "unobservable" cyber data attacks that cannot be detected by any existing method that purely…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Pengzhi Gao , Meng Wang , Joe H. Chow , Scott G. Ghiocel , Bruce Fardanesh , George Stefopoulos , Michael P. Razanousky

In recent years, critical infrastructure and power grids have increasingly been targets of cyber-attacks, causing widespread and extended blackouts. Digital substations are particularly vulnerable to such cyber incursions, jeopardizing grid…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Mansi Girdhar , Kuchan Park , Wencong Su , Junho Hong , Akila Herath , Chen-Ching Liu

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method to efficiently and accurately compute cut-Bayesian posterior quantities of interest, variations of standard Bayesian approaches constructed primarily to account for model misspecification. We…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Joseph Mathews , Giri Gopalan , James Gattiker , Sean Smith , Devin Francom

Industrial control systems (ICSs) are widely used and vital to industry and society. Their failure can have severe impact on both economics and human life. Hence, these systems have become an attractive target for attacks, both physical and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Moshe Kravchik , Asaf Shabtai

Smart grids are critical cyber-physical systems that are vital to our energy future. Smart grids' fault resilience is dependent on the use of advanced protection systems that can reliably adapt to changing conditions within the grid. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-01 Amr S. Mohamed , Deepa Kundur , Mohsen Khalaf

Random attacks that jointly minimize the amount of information acquired by the operator about the state of the grid and the probability of attack detection are presented. The attacks minimize the information acquired by the operator by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Ke Sun , Iñaki Esnaola , Samir M. Perlaza , H. Vincent Poor
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