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Many epidemic models are naturally defined as individual-based models: where we track the state of each individual within a susceptible population. Inference for individual-based models is challenging due to the high-dimensional state-space…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Christopher Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

Measurement error arises commonly in clinical research settings that rely on data from electronic health records or large observational cohorts. In particular, self-reported outcomes are typical in cohort studies for chronic diseases such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-08 Lillian A. Boe , Lesley F. Tinker , Pamela A. Shaw

When an individual reports a negative interaction with some system, how can their personal experience be contextualized within broader patterns of system behavior? We study the reporting database problem, where individual reports of adverse…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Jessica Dai , Paula Gradu , Inioluwa Deborah Raji , Benjamin Recht

Adverse drug interactions are a critical concern in pharmacovigilance, as both clinical trials and spontaneous reporting systems often lack the breadth to detect complex drug interactions. This study introduces a computational framework for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-02 Jules Bangard , Einar Holsbø , Kristian Svendsen , Vittorio Perduca , Etienne Birmelé

Epidemiologic studies often evaluate the association between an exposure and an event risk. When time-varying, exposure updates usually occur at discrete visits although changes are in continuous time and survival models require values to…

This work is motivated by analyses of longitudinal data collected from participants in the Quebec Longitudinal Study of Child Development (QLSCD) and the Quebec Newborn Twin Study (QNTS) to identify important genetic predictors for…

Understanding and quantifying cause and effect is an important problem in many domains. The generally-agreed solution to this problem is to perform a randomised controlled trial. However, even when randomised controlled trials can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Graham Van Goffrier , Lucas Maystre , Ciarán Gilligan-Lee

We propose a deep generative approach using latent temporal processes for modeling and holistically analyzing complex disease trajectories, with a particular focus on Systemic Sclerosis (SSc). We aim to learn temporal latent representations…

An individualized risk prediction model that dynamically updates the probability of a clinical event from a specific cause is valuable for physicians to be able to optimize personalized treatment strategies in real-time by incorporating all…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Qing Liu , Gong Tang , Joseph P. Costantino , Chung-Chou H. Chang

Predicting an individual's risk of experiencing a future clinical outcome is a statistical task with important consequences for both practicing clinicians and public health experts. Modern observational databases such as electronic health…

We consider a high-dimensional multi-outcome regression in which $q,$ possibly dependent, binary and continuous outcomes are regressed onto $p$ covariates. We model the observed outcome vector as a partially observed latent realization from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Soham Ghosh , Sameer K. Deshpande

Ability to quantify and predict progression of a disease is fundamental for selecting an appropriate treatment. Many clinical metrics cannot be acquired frequently either because of their cost (e.g. MRI, gait analysis) or because they are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Guanyang Wang , Yumeng Zhang , Yong Deng , Xuxin Huang , Łukasz Kidziński

Post--marketing pharmacovigilance is essential for identifying adverse drug reactions (ADRs) that elude detection during pre--marketing clinical trials. This study explores a novel approach that integrates an adverse event (AE) ontology…

Covariance regression offers an effective way to model the large covariance matrix with the auxiliary similarity matrices. In this work, we propose a sparse covariance regression (SCR) approach to handle the potentially high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Yuan Gao , Zhiyuan Zhang , Zhanrui Cai , Xuening Zhu , Tao Zou , Hansheng Wang

Stroke affected millions annually, yet poor symptom recognition often delayed care-seeking. To address risk recognition gap, we developed a passive surveillance system for early stroke risk detection using patient-reported symptoms among…

Contrastive learning has demonstrated promising performance in image and text domains either in a self-supervised or a supervised manner. In this work, we extend the supervised contrastive learning framework to clinical risk prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Chengxi Zang , Fei Wang

Survival analysis plays a crucial role in many healthcare decisions, where the risk prediction for the events of interest can support an informative outlook for a patient's medical journey. Given the existence of data censoring, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

We study the problem of detecting adverse drug events in electronic healthcare records. The challenge in this work is to aggregate heterogeneous data types involving diagnosis codes, drug codes, as well as lab measurements. An earlier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Maria Bampa , Panagiotis Papapetrou

In many observational studies, researchers are often interested in studying the effects of multiple exposures on a single outcome. Standard approaches for high-dimensional data such as the lasso assume the associations between the exposures…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Dingke Tang , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

We study causal discovery from a single observed sequence of discrete events generated by a stochastic process, as encountered in vehicle logs, manufacturing systems, or patient trajectories. This regime is particularly challenging due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Hugo Math , Rainer Lienhart