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This paper presents an end-to-end framework for calibrating wind power forecast models to minimize operational costs in two-stage power markets, where the first stage involves a distributionally robust optimal power flow (DR-OPF) model.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-17 Zhirui Liang , Qi Li , Anqi Liu , Yury Dvorkin

The increasing decentralization of power systems driven by a large number of renewable energy sources poses challenges in power flow optimization. Partially unknown power line properties can render model-based approaches unsuitable. With…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Sebastian Otzen , Hannes M. H. Wolf , Christian A. Hans

We introduce an innovative approach that incorporates a Distributionally Robust Learning (DRL) approach into Cox regression to enhance the robustness and accuracy of survival predictions. By formulating a DRL framework with a Wasserstein…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yeping Jin , Lauren Wise , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Standard stochastic control methods assume that the probability distribution of uncertain variables is available. Unfortunately, in practice, obtaining accurate distribution information is a challenging task. To resolve this issue, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Insoon Yang

We tackle the data-driven chance-constrained density steering problem using the Gromov-Wasserstein metric. The underlying dynamical system is an unknown linear controlled recursion, with the assumption that sufficiently rich input-output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Haruto Nakashima , Siddhartha Ganguly , Kenji Kashima

There is an emerging need for efficient solutions to stochastic AC Optimal Power Flow ({AC-}OPF) to ensure optimal and reliable grid operations in the presence of increasing demand and generation uncertainty. This paper presents a highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-11 Ilyes Mezghani , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

We consider decision-making problems under decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU), where the distribution of uncertain parameters depends on the decision variables and is only observable through a finite offline dataset. To address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Chengrui Qu , Huiwen Jia , Pengcheng You

This paper proposes a data-driven approach for optimal power flow (OPF) based on the stacked extreme learning machine (SELM) framework. SELM has a fast training speed and does not require the time-consuming parameter tuning process compared…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-02 Xingyu Lei , Zhifang Yang , Juan Yu , Junbo Zhao , Qian Gao , Hongxin Yu

The incorporation of stochastic loads and generation into the operation of power grids gives rise to an exposure to stochastic risk. This risk has been addressed in prior work through a variety of mechanisms, such as scenario generation or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Daniel Bienstock , Apurv Shukla

We study data-driven decision problems where historical observations are generated by a time-evolving distribution whose consecutive shifts are bounded in Wasserstein distance. We address this nonstationarity using a distributionally robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Edward J. Anderson , Wolfram Wiesemann

Dynamic line rating (DLR) is an effective approach to enhancing the utilization of existing transmission line infrastructure by adapting line ratings according to real-time weather conditions. Accurate DLR forecasts are essential for grid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Minsoo Kim , Vladimir Dvorkin , Jip Kim

Linear optimal power flow (LOPF) algorithms use a linearization of the alternating current (AC) load flow equations to optimize generator dispatch in a network subject to the loading constraints of the network branches. Common algorithms…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-02-01 Jonas Hörsch , Henrik Ronellenfitsch , Dirk Witthaut , Tom Brown

We consider stochastic programs conditional on some covariate information, where the only knowledge of the possible relationship between the uncertain parameters and the covariates is reduced to a finite data sample of their joint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Wasserstein distance-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has received much attention lately due to its ability to provide a robustness interpretation of various learning models. Moreover, many of the DRO problems that arise in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Jiajin Li , Sen Huang , Anthony Man-Cho So

The implementation of optimal power flow (OPF) methods to perform voltage and power flow regulation in electric networks is generally believed to require extensive communication. We consider distribution systems with multiple controllable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Roel Dobbe , Oscar Sondermeijer , David Fridovich-Keil , Daniel Arnold , Duncan Callaway , Claire Tomlin

The performance of machine learning (ML) models critically depends on the quality and representativeness of the training data. In applications with multiple heterogeneous data generating sources, standard ML methods often learn spurious…

High wind energy penetration critically challenges the economic dispatch of current and future power systems. Supply and demand must be balanced at every bus of the grid, while respecting transmission line ratings and accounting for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Yu Zhang , Nikolaos Gatsis , Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

We consider data-driven approaches that integrate a machine learning prediction model within distributionally robust optimization (DRO) given limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates. Our framework is flexible in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

We study multistage distributionally robust linear optimization, where the uncertainty set is defined as a ball of distribution centered at a scenario tree using the nested distance. The resulting minimax problem is notoriously difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Rui Gao , Rohit Arora , Yizhe Huang

We study the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) in a dynamic context where the model uncertainty is captured by penalizing potential models in function of their adapted Wasserstein distance to a given reference model. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Yifan Jiang