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This paper deals with the time-varying high dimensional covariance matrix estimation. We propose two covariance matrix estimators corresponding with a time-varying approximate factor model and a time-varying approximate characteristic-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-29 Jaeheon Jung

This paper considers a class of GMM estimators for general dynamic panel models, allowing for weakly exogenous covariates and cross sectional dependence due to spatial lags, unspecified common shocks and time-varying interactive effects. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Guido M. Kuersteiner , Ingmar R. Prucha

Model-assisted estimators have attracted a lot of attention in the last three decades. These estimators attempt to make an efficient use of auxiliary information available at the estimation stage. A working model linking the survey variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

We provide a unified approach to a method of estimation of the regression parameter in balanced linear models with a structured covariance matrix that combines a high breakdown point and bounded influence with high asymptotic efficiency at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaä

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

High-dimensional linear models with endogenous variables play an increasingly important role in recent econometric literature. In this work we allow for models with many endogenous variables and many instrument variables to achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-30 Alexandre Belloni , Christian Hansen , Whitney Newey

This paper considers a linear regression model with an endogenous regressor which arises from a nonlinear transformation of a latent variable. It is shown that the corresponding coefficient can be consistently estimated without external…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Jörg Breitung , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

We observe a large number of functions differing from each other only by a translation parameter. While the main pattern is unknown, we propose to estimate the shift parameters using $M$-estimators. Fourier transform enables to transform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Elie Maza

Transformer-based models for transfer learning have the potential to achieve high prediction accuracies on text-based supervised learning tasks with relatively few training data instances. These models are thus likely to benefit social…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Sandra Wankmüller

Large-scale sequential data is often exposed to some degree of inhomogeneity in the form of sudden changes in the parameters of the data-generating process. We consider the problem of detecting such structural changes in a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-15 Florencia Leonardi , Peter Bühlmann

Transformers serve as the foundational architecture for large language and video generation models, such as GPT, BERT, SORA and their successors. Empirical studies have demonstrated that real-world data and learning tasks exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zhaiming Shen , Alex Havrilla , Rongjie Lai , Alexander Cloninger , Wenjing Liao

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

Modern software systems are built to be used in dynamic environments using configuration capabilities to adapt to changes and external uncertainties. In a self-adaptation context, we are often interested in reasoning about the performance…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Pooyan Jamshidi , Miguel Velez , Christian Kästner , Norbert Siegmund , Prasad Kawthekar

Transformer based large-language models (LLMs) display extreme proficiency with language yet a precise understanding of how they work remains elusive. One way of demystifying transformer predictions would be to describe how they depend on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Timothy Nguyen

Covariance function estimation is a fundamental task in multivariate functional data analysis and arises in many applications. In this paper, we consider estimating sparse covariance functions for high-dimensional functional data, where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

The problem of learning one task using samples from another task is central to transfer learning. In this paper, we focus on answering the following question: when does combining the samples from two related tasks perform better than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-11 Fan Yang , Hongyang R. Zhang , Sen Wu , Christopher Ré , Weijie J. Su

We present machine learning estimators for causal and predictive parameters under covariate shift, where covariate distributions differ between training and target populations. One such parameter is the average effect of a policy that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Victor Chernozhukov , Michael Newey , Whitney K Newey , Rahul Singh , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Symbolic regression algorithms search a space of mathematical expressions for formulas that explain given data. Transformer-based models have emerged as a promising, scalable approach shifting the expensive combinatorial search to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Henrik Voigt , Paul Kahlmeyer , Kai Lawonn , Michael Habeck , Joachim Giesen