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Bias in causal comparisons has a direct correspondence with distributional imbalance of covariates between treatment groups. Weighting strategies such as inverse propensity score weighting attempt to mitigate bias by either modeling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-14 Jared D. Huling , Simon Mak

Fisher's method prescribes a way to combine p-values from multiple experiments into a single p-value. However, the original method can only determine a combined p-value analytically if all constituent p-values are weighted equally. Here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Arvind Thiagarajan

Prediction-powered inference (PPI) is a recent framework for valid statistical inference with partially labeled data, combining model-based predictions on a large unlabeled set with bias correction from a smaller labeled subset. Building on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson

Since its inception, the neural estimation of mutual information (MI) has demonstrated the empirical success of modeling expected dependency between high-dimensional random variables. However, MI is an aggregate statistic and cannot be used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Han Zhao , Makoto Yamada , Louis-Philippe Morency , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Micro-randomized trials are commonly conducted for optimizing mobile health interventions such as push notifications for behavior change. In analyzing such trials, causal excursion effects are often of primary interest, and their estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-19 Yihan Bao , Lauren Bell , Elizabeth Williamson , Claire Garnett , Tianchen Qian

In paired experiments, participants are grouped into pairs with similar characteristics, and one observation from each pair is randomly assigned to treatment. Because of both the pairing and the randomization, the treatment and control…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-22 Edward Wu , Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch

Causal inference starts with a simple idea: compare groups that differ by treatment, not much else. Traditionally, similar groups are constructed using only observed covariates; however, it remains a long-standing challenge to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Ying Jin , José Zubizarreta

Recent years have seen the development of many novel scoring tools for disease prognosis and prediction. To become accepted for use in clinical applications, these tools have to be validated on external data. In practice, validation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Matthias Schmid , Tim Friede , Nadja Klein , Leonie Weinhold

The problem of combining p-values is an old and fundamental one, and the classic assumption of independence is often violated or unverifiable in many applications. There are many well-known rules that can combine a set of arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Matteo Gasparin , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper develops novel conformal methods to test whether a new observation was sampled from the same distribution as a reference set. Blending inductive and transductive conformal inference in an innovative way, the described methods can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Ziyi Liang , Matteo Sesia , Wenguang Sun

Estimating causal effects from observational data requires identifying valid adjustment sets. This task is especially challenging in realistic settings where latent confounding and feedback loops are present. Existing approaches typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ana Leticia Garcez Vicente , Gijs van Seeventer , Saber Salehkaleybar

We study methods for simultaneous analysis of many noisy experiments in the presence of rich covariate information. The goal of the analyst is to optimally estimate the true effect underlying each experiment. Both the noisy experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Stefan Wager

In genetic association studies, detecting disease-genotype associations is a primary goal. For most diseases, the underlying genetic model is unknown, and we study seven robust test statistics for monotone association. For a given test…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-13 Mette Langaas , Øyvind Bakke

Composite endpoints are commonly used with an anticipation that clinically relevant endpoints as a whole would yield meaningful treatment benefits. The win ratio is a rank-based statistic to summarize composite endpoints, allowing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Di Zhang , Stephen R. Wisniewski , Jong-Hyeon Jeong

We study the detection capability of the weak-value amplification on the basis of the statistical hypothesis testing. We propose a reasonable testing method in the physical and statistical senses to find that the weak measurement with the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-08-17 Yuki Susa , Saki Tanaka

In clinical trials, there is potential to improve precision and reduce the required sample size by appropriately adjusting for baseline variables in the statistical analysis. This is called covariate adjustment. Despite recommendations by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Kelly Van Lancker , Joshua Betz , Michael Rosenblum

As a convention, p-value is often computed in frequentist hypothesis testing and compared with the nominal significance level of 0.05 to determine whether or not to reject the null hypothesis. The smaller the p-value, the more significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-25 Haolun Shi , Guosheng Yin

The sequential treatment decisions made by physicians to treat chronic diseases are formalized in the statistical literature as dynamic treatment regimes. To date, methods for dynamic treatment regimes have been developed under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Janie Coulombe , Erica E. M. Moodie , Susan M. Shortreed , Christel Renoux

Causal discovery is to learn cause-effect relationships among variables given observational data and is important for many applications. Existing causal discovery methods assume data sufficiency, which may not be the case in many real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Zijun Cui , Naiyu Yin , Yuru Wang , Qiang Ji

Adaptive experiments use preliminary analyses of the data to inform further course of action and are commonly used in many disciplines including medical and social sciences. Because the null hypothesis and experimental design are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao , Zijun Gao