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Efficient sampling from high-dimensional distributions is a challenging issue which is encountered in many large data recovery problems involving Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes. In this context, sampling using Hamiltonian dynamics is one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-02 Lotfi Chaari , Jean-Yves Tourneret , Caroline Chaux , Hadj Batatia

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

The subsurface flow is usually subject to uncertain porous media structures. In most cases, however, we only have partial knowledge about the porous media properties. A common approach is to model the uncertain parameters of porous media as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Yang Liu , Jingfa Li , Shuyu Sun , Bo Yu

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is an established approach for uncertainty quantification and propagation in scientific applications. A key challenge in applying MCMC to scientific domains is computation: the target density of interest is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-05 Diana Cai , Ryan P. Adams

In this work we introduce the Multi-Index Stochastic Collocation method (MISC) for computing statistics of the solution of a PDE with random data. MISC is a combination technique based on mixed differences of spatial approximations and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Fabio Nobile , Lorenzo Tamellini , Raul Tempone

Calibration of individual based models (IBMs), successful in modeling complex ecological dynamical systems, is often performed only ad-hoc. Bayesian inference can be used for both parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification, but its…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-09 Jonas Šukys , Mira Kattwinkel

In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers

This article provides a survey of recent research efforts on the application of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods to elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with random diffusion coefficients. It considers, and contrasts, the uniform…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Frances Y. Kuo , Dirk Nuyens

In geostatistics, Gaussian random fields are often used to model heterogeneities of soil or subsurface parameters. To give spatial approximations of these random fields, they are discretized. Then, different techniques of geostatistical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-25 Sebastian Reuschen , Fabian Jobst , Wolfgang Nowak

In this paper, we investigate the properties of standard and multilevel Monte Carlo methods for weak approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by the infinite-dimensional Wiener process and Poisson random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Michał Sobieraj

Nested integration problems arise in various scientific and engineering applications, including Bayesian experimental design, financial risk assessment, and uncertainty quantification. These nested integrals take the form $\int f\left(\int…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Arved Bartuska , André Gustavo Carlon , Luis Espath , Sebastian Krumscheid , Raúl Tempone

In this paper, we introduce and analyze a new low-rank multilevel strategy for the solution of random diffusion problems. Using a standard stochastic collocation scheme, we first approximate the infinite dimensional random problem by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Jonas Ballani , Daniel Kressner , Michael Peters

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson

This work introduces a new method designed for Bayesian deep learning called scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo (SBMC). The method is comprised of a model and an algorithm. The model interpolates between a point estimator and the posterior. The…

Stochastic modeling has become a popular approach to quantify uncertainty in flows through heterogeneous porous media. The uncertainty in heterogeneous structure properties is often parameterized by a high-dimensional random variable. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Lijian Jiang , J. David Moulton , Jia Wei

We present an adaptive multilevel Monte Carlo (AMLMC) algorithm for approximating deterministic, real-valued, bounded linear functionals that depend on the solution of a linear elliptic PDE with a lognormal diffusivity coefficient and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Joakim Beck , Yang Liu , Erik von Schwerin , Raúl Tempone

We consider the theoretical analysis of Multiscale Sampling Methods, which are a new class of gradient-free Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high dimensional inverse differential equation problems. A detailed presentation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Lucas Seiffert , Felipe Pereira

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a promising framework for modeling predictive uncertainty and enhancing out-of-distribution robustness (OOD) by estimating the posterior distribution of network parameters. Stochastic Gradient Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hyunsu Kim , Giung Nam , Chulhee Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

In this paper, we investigate the use of multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for estimating the expectation of discretized random fields. Specifically, we consider a setting in which the input and output vectors of numerical simulators…

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang