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We study the term structure equation for single-factor models that predict nonnegative short rates. In particular, we show that the price of a bond or a bond option is the unique classical solution to a parabolic differential equation with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-07 Erik Ekström , Johan Tysk

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

The main purpose of this paper is to extend the information-based asset-pricing framework of Brody-Hughston-Macrina to a more general set-up. We include a wider class of models for market information and in contrast to the original paper,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Mohamed Erraoui , Astrid Hilbert , Mohammed Louriki

We consider a market with a term structure of credit risky bonds in the single-name case. We aim at minimal assumptions extending existing results in this direction: first, the random field of forward rates is driven by a general…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-17 Sandrine Gümbel , Thorsten Schmidt

The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed L\'{e}vy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-10 Roman V. Ivanov , Katsunori Ano

We introduce a new tool for predicting the evolution of an option for the cases where at some specific time, there is a high-degree of uncertainty for identifying its price. We work over the special case where we can predict the evolution…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Ivan Arraut , Alan Au , Alan Ching-biu Tse , Carlos Segovia

Discount is the difference between the face value of a bond and its present value. I propose an arbitrage-free dynamic framework for discount models, which provides an alternative to the Heath--Jarrow--Morton framework for forward rates. I…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-28 Damir Filipovic

We propose a novel structural estimation framework in which we train a surrogate of an economic model with deep neural networks. Our methodology alleviates the curse of dimensionality and speeds up the evaluation and parameter estimation by…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Hui Chen , Antoine Didisheim , Simon Scheidegger

We reconsider the valuation of barrier options by means of binomial trees from a "forward looking" prospective rather than the more conventional "backward induction" one used by standard approaches. This reformulation allows us to write…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dario Villani , Andrei E. Ruckestein

The classical discrete time model of proportional transaction costs relies on the assumption that a feasible portfolio process has solvent increments at each step. We extend this setting in two directions, allowing for convex transaction…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Emmanuel Lepinette , Ilya Molchanov

In this article we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic differential delay equation (sdde). We believe that the proposed model is sufficiently flexible to…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Mercedes Arriojas , Yaozhong Hu , Salah-Eldin Mohammed , Gyula Pap

We discuss the no-arbitrage conditions in a general framework for discrete-time models of financial markets with proportional transaction costs and general information structure. We extend the results of Kabanov and al. (2002), Kabanov and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Bruno Bouchard

The paper begins with a novel variational formulation of Duffing equation using the extended framework of Hamilton's principle (EHP). This formulation properly accounts for initial conditions, and it recovers all the governing differential…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Jinkyu Kim , Hyeonseok Lee , Jinwon Shin

In a discrete time and multiple-priors setting, we propose a new characterisation of the condition of quasi-sure no-arbitrage which has become a standard assumption. This characterisation shows that it is indeed a well-chosen condition…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-08 Romain Blanchard , Laurence Carassus

We introduce a discrete binary tree for pricing contingent claims with the underlying security prices exhibiting history dependence characteristic of that induced by market microstructure phenomena. Example dependencies considered include…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-29 Davide Lauria , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Yuan Hu

We investigate the implementation of reduced-form allocation probabilities in a two-person bargaining problem without side payments, where the agents have to select one alternative from a finite set of social alternatives. We provide a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-23 Xu Lang

In this paper, we study option pricing under Vasicek Model by a Hamiltonian approach. Since the interest rate changes with time, we split the time to maturity into infinite steps, and the matrix element during each step could be calculated…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-09 Chao Guo , Ning Yao

This paper aims at transferring the philosophy behind Heath-Jarrow-Morton to the modelling of call options with all strikes and maturities. Contrary to the approach by Carmona and Nadtochiy (2009) and related to the recent contribution…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-22 Jan Kallsen , Paul Krühner

We consider the superhedging price of an exotic option under nondominated model uncertainty in discrete time in which the option buyer chooses some action from an (uncountable) action space at each time step. By introducing an enlarged…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-03 Anna Aksamit , Ivan Guo , Shidan Liu , Zhou Zhou

We consider the problem of modelling the term structure of defaultable bonds, under minimal assumptions on the default time. In particular, we do not assume the existence of a default intensity and we therefore allow for the possibility of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-03 Claudio Fontana , Thorsten Schmidt