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We present a simulation-and-regression method for solving dynamic portfolio allocation problems in the presence of general transaction costs, liquidity costs and market impacts. This method extends the classical least squares Monte Carlo…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-05 Rongju Zhang , Nicolas Langrené , Yu Tian , Zili Zhu , Fima Klebaner , Kais Hamza

Much research in systemic risk is focused on default contagion. While this demands an understanding of valuation, fewer articles specifically deal with the existence, the uniqueness, and the computation of equilibrium prices in structural…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-30 Johannes Hain , Tom Fischer

Designing dynamic portfolio insurance strategies under market conditions switching between two or more regimes is a challenging task in financial economics. Recently, a promising approach employing the value-at-risk (VaR) measure to assign…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Peyman Alipour , Ali Foroush Bastani

A large class of decision making under uncertainty problems can be described via Markov decision processes (MDPs) or partially observable MDPs (POMDPs), with application to artificial intelligence and operations research, among others.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Ugo Rosolia , Michel D. Ingham , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

We investigate the optimal reinsurance problem in a risk model with jump clustering features. This modeling framework is inspired by the concept initially proposed in Dassios and Zhao (2011), combining Hawkes and Cox processes with shot…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Claudia Ceci , Alessandra Cretarola

This paper bridges reinforcement learning (RL) and risk-sensitive stochastic control by introducing a tractable exploration mechanism for policy search in risk-sensitive portfolio management, with known and unknown model parameters, that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Sebastien Lleo , Wolfgang Runggaldier

We study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in finite discounted MDPs, where a generative model of the MDP is assumed to be available. We consider a family or risk measures called the optimized certainty equivalent (OCE), which includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Oliver Mortensen , Mohammad Sadegh Talebi

We consider the Merton problem of optimizing expected power utility of terminal wealth in the case of an unobservable Markov-modulated drift. What makes the model special is that the agent is allowed to purchase costly expert opinions of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-19 Christoph Knochenhauer , Alexander Merkel , Yufei Zhang

Value-at-risk (VaR), also known as quantile, is a crucial risk measure in finance and other fields. However, optimizing VaR metrics in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is challenging because VaR is non-additive and the traditional dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Li Xia , Jinyan Pan

This paper considers a risk-constrained infinite-horizon optimal control problem and proposes to solve it in an iterative manner. Each iteration of the algorithm generates a trajectory from the starting point to the target equilibrium state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Alireza Zolanvari , Ashish Cherukuri

Optimizing risk-averse objectives in discounted MDPs is challenging because most models do not admit direct dynamic programming equations and require complex history-dependent policies. In this paper, we show that the risk-averse {\em total…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xihong Su , Julien Grand-Clément , Marek Petrik

We study the problem of zero-delay coding for the transmission of a Markov source over a noisy channel with feedback and present a reinforcement learning solution which is guaranteed to achieve near-optimality. To this end, we formulate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Liam Cregg , Fady Alajaji , Serdar Yuksel

We introduce a model for the loss distribution of a credit portfolio considering a contagion mechanism for the default of names which is the result of two independent components: an infection attempt generated by defaulting entities and a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Gabriele Torri , Rosella Giacometti , Gianluca Farina

In robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), it is assumed that the reward and the transition dynamics lie in a given uncertainty set. By targeting maximal return under the most adversarial model from that set, RMDPs address performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Uri Gadot , Esther Derman , Navdeep Kumar , Maxence Mohamed Elfatihi , Kfir Levy , Shie Mannor

We design scheduling policies that minimize a risk-sensitive cost criterion for a remote estimation setup. Since risk-sensitive cost objective takes into account not just the mean value of the cost, but also higher order moments of its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Manali Dutta , Rahul Singh

This paper describes the structure of optimal policies for infinite-state Markov Decision Processes with setwise continuous transition probabilities. The action sets may be noncompact. The objective criteria are either the expected total…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov

Choosing a portfolio of risky assets over time that maximizes the expected return at the same time as it minimizes portfolio risk is a classical problem in Mathematical Finance and is referred to as the dynamic Markowitz problem (when the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-20 Gabriela Kováčová , Birgit Rudloff

We are interested in risk constraints for infinite horizon discrete time Markov decision processes (MDPs). Starting with average reward MDPs, we show that increasing concave stochastic dominance constraints on the empirical distribution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-06-21 William B. Haskell , Rahul Jain

In an arbitrage-free simple market, we demonstrate that for a class of state-dependent exponential utilities, there exists a unique prediction of the random risk aversion that ensures the consistency of optimal strategies across any time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-06 Edoardo Berton , Marzia De Donno , Marco Maggis

We propose a comprehensive framework for policy gradient methods tailored to continuous time reinforcement learning. This is based on the connection between stochastic control problems and randomised problems, enabling applications across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Robert Denkert , Huyên Pham , Xavier Warin