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This paper presents non-parametric estimates of spectral risk measures applied to long and short positions in 5 prominent equity futures contracts. It also compares these to estimates of two popular alternative measures, the Value-at-Risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 john cotter , kevin dowd

Looking at bivariate copulas from the perspective of conditional distributions and considering weak convergence of almost all conditional distributions yields the notion of weak conditional convergence. At first glance, this notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Thimo M. Kasper , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

In this paper we introduce a simple continuous-time asset pricing framework, based on general multi-dimensional diffusion processes, that combines semi-analytic pricing with a nonlinear specification for the market price of risk. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-06 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Paul Schneider

We consider inference procedures, conditional on an observed ancillary statistic, for regression coefficients under a linear regression setup where the unknown error distribution is specified nonparametrically. We establish conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-31 Yvonne Ho , Stephen Lee

Modal regression has emerged as a flexible alternative to classical regression models when the conditional mean or median are unable to adequately capture the underlying relation between a response and a predictor variable. This approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Ana Pérez-González , Tomás R. Cotos-Yáñez , Rosa M. Crujeiras

In this article, by using composite asymmetric least squares (CALS) and empirical likelihood, we propose a two-step procedure to estimate the conditional value at risk (VaR) and conditional expected shortfall (ES) for the GARCH series.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Sheng Wu , Yi Zhang , Jun Zhao , Liming Shen

Quantile regression is a technique to estimate conditional quantile curves. It provides a comprehensive picture of a response contingent on explanatory variables. In a flexible modeling framework, a specific form of the conditional quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Vladimir Spokoiny , Weining Wang , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

This research presents a framework for quantitative risk management in volatile markets, specifically focusing on expectile-based methodologies applied to the FTSE 100 index. Traditional risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-21 Abiodun Finbarrs Oketunji

This study delves into the intricate realm of risk evaluation within the domain of specific financial derivatives, notably options. Unlike other financial instruments, like bonds, options are susceptible to broader risks. A distinctive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-28 Shiva Zamani , Alireza Moslemi Haghighi , Hamid Arian

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

Risk measures for random vectors have been considered in multi-asset markets with transaction costs and financial networks in the literature. While the theory of set-valued risk measures provide an axiomatic framework for assigning to a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-25 Çağın Ararat , Zachary Feinstein

This paper investigates how to measure common market risk factors using newly proposed Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns. By exploring the fact that volatility crosses all quantiles of the return distribution and using penalized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Frantisek Cech , Jozef Barunik

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

The modeling of high-frequency data that qualify financial asset transactions has been an area of relevant interest among statisticians and econometricians -- above all, the analysis of time series of financial durations. Autoregressive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Helton Saulo , Suvra Pal , Rubens Souza , Roberto Vila , Alan Dasilva

A class of estimating functions is introduced for the regression parameter of the Cox proportional hazards model to allow unknown failure statuses on some study subjects. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Irene Gijbels , Danyu Lin , Zhiliang Ying

In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

Stochastic volatility (SV) models mimic many of the stylized facts attributed to time series of asset returns, while maintaining conceptual simplicity. The commonly made assumption of conditionally normally distributed or…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Théo Michelot , Alexander Sohn , Thomas Kneib

Capturing complex dependence structures between outcome variables (e.g., study endpoints) is of high relevance in contemporary biomedical data problems and medical research. Distributional copula regression provides a flexible tool to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Nicolai Hans , Nadja Klein , Florian Faschingbauer , Michael Schneider , Andreas Mayr

Extreme-value copulas arise as the limiting dependence structure of component-wise maxima. Defined in terms of a functional parameter, they are one of the most widespread copula families due to their flexibility and ability to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Javier Fernández Serrano

In real data analysis, the underlying model is usually unknown, modelling strategy plays a key role in the success of data analysis. Stimulated by the idea of model averaging, we propose a novel semiparametric modelling strategy for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Chaohui Guo , Wenyang Zhang
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