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Investigating the problem of setting control limits in the case of parameter uncertainty is more accessible when monitoring the variance because only one parameter has to be estimated. Simply ignoring the induced uncertainty frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 Sven Knoth

We consider a multi-period stochastic control problem where the multivariate driving stochastic factor of the system has known marginal distributions but uncertain dependence structure. To solve the problem, we propose to implement the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

We propose a new unsupervised and non-parametric method to detect change points in intricate quasi-periodic signals. The detection relies on optimal transport theory combined with topological analysis and the bootstrap procedure. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Nikolay Shvetsov , Nazar Buzun , Dmitry V. Dylov

This paper presents DRE-CUSUM, an unsupervised density-ratio estimation (DRE) based approach to determine statistical changes in time-series data when no knowledge of the pre-and post-change distributions are available. The core idea behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

In this paper easily applicable techniques are devised for detecting changepoints in autocorrelated Gaussian sequences. Our method proceeds by sequential evaluation of a CUSUM-type test statistic, which is compared to a predefined…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 W. Ellens , J. Kuhn , M. Mandjes , P. Żuraniewski

We develop a learning-based algorithm for the control of autonomous systems governed by unknown, nonlinear dynamics to satisfy user-specified spatio-temporal tasks expressed as signal temporal logic specifications. Most existing algorithms…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Christos K. Verginis , Zhe Xu , Ufuk Topcu

We propose a sequential nonparametric test for detecting a change in distribution, based on windowed Kolmogorov--Smirnov statistics. The approach is simple, robust, highly computationally efficient, easy to calibrate, and requires no…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

This paper considers an adaptive tracking control problem for stochastic regression systems with multi-threshold quantized observations. Different from the existing studies for periodic reference signals, the reference signal in this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-30 Chuiliu Kong , Ying Wang

The problem of quickest change detection with communication rate constraints is studied. A network of wireless sensors with limited computation capability monitors the environment and sends observations to a fusion center via wireless…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Xiaoqiang Ren , Karl H. Johansson , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Monitoring time-between-events (TBE) data, where the goal is to track the time between consecutive events, has important applications across various fields. Many existing schemes for monitoring multivariate TBE data suffer from inherent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Gokul Parakulum , Jun Li

In this paper, we study the leaderless consensus problem for multiple Lagrangian systems in the presence of parametric uncertainties and external disturbances under directed graphs. For achieving asymptotic behavior, a robust continuous…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-26 Jie Mei

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Traditional Statistical Process Control (SPC) is essential for quality management but is limited by its reliance on often violated statistical assumptions, leading to unreliable monitoring in modern, complex manufacturing environments. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Christopher Burger

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

This paper develops a Bayesian control chart for the percentiles of the Weibull distribution, when both its in-control and out-of-control parameters are unknown. The Bayesian approach enhances parameter estimates for small sample sizes that…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-06 Pasquale Erto , Giuliana Pallotta , Christina M. Mastrangelo

In Statistical Process Control, control charts are often used to detect undesirable behavior of sequentially observed quality characteristics. Designing a control chart with desirably low False Alarm Rate (FAR) and detection delay ($ARL_1$)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 Takayuki Iguchi , Andrés F. Barrientos , Eric Chicken , Debajyoti Sinha

This paper proposes a novel direct adaptive control method for rejecting unknown deterministic disturbances and tracking unknown trajectories in systems with uncertain dynamics when the disturbances or trajectories are the summation of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-18 Behrooz Shahsavari , Jinwen Pan , Roberto Horowitz

Rapidly detecting problems in the quality of care is of utmost importance for the well-being of patients. Without proper inspection schemes, such problems can go undetected for years. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts have proven to be useful…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-16 Daniel Gomon , Hein Putter , Rob G. H. H. Nelissen , Stéphanie van der Pas