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The multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is used in many branches of science and engineering to describe the regression of a system to its stationary mean. Here we present an $O(N)$ Bayesian method to estimate the drift and diffusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , R. Adhikari

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for the partially observed linear stochastic differential equation. We assume that the unobserved Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process depends on some unknown parameter and estimate the unobserved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Yury A. Kutoyants

We obtain a Berry-Esseen type bound for the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-uhlenbeck type process driven by sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-21 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We consider the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an unknown drift parameter and known Hurst parameter $H$. We propose a new method to test the hypothesis of the sign of the parameter and prove the consistency of the test. Contrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Alexander Kukush , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by a Wiener process and a compound Poisson process as small noises. The goal is to give a threshold-type quasi-likelihood estimator and show its consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yasutaka Shimizu

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

We study the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient in complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by fractional Brownian motion, extending the results of Chen, Hu, Wang…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Fares Alazemi , Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Kestutis Kubilius , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Oleg Seleznjev

We discuss estimation problems where a polynomial is observed under Ornstein Uhlenbeck noise over a long time interval. We prove local asymptotic normality (LAN) and specify asymptotically efficient estimators. We apply this to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Reinhard Höpfner

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

The paper proposes a formal estimation procedure for parameters of the fractional Poisson process (fPp). Such procedures are needed to make the fPp model usable in applied situations. The basic idea of fPp, motivated by experimental data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Dexter Cahoy , Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Wojbor A. Woyczynski

It is considered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $ x_t = x_0 e^{-\theta t} + \mu (1-e^{-\theta t}) + \sigma \int_0^t e^{-\theta (t-s)} dW_s$, where $x_0 \in R$, $\theta>0$, $ \mu \in R$ and $\sigma > 0$ are parameters. By use values $(z_k)_{k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Levan Labadze , Gogi Pantsulaia

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

We investigate the sharp large deviation properties of the energy and the maximum likelihood estimator for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index greater than one half.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-19 Bernard Bercu , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Savy

We study the parameter estimation problem of Vasicek Model driven by sub-fractional Brownian processes from discrete observations, and let {S_t^H,t>=0} denote a sub-fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst parameter 1/2<H<1 . The studies are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Cuiyun Zhang , Jingjun Guo , Aiqin Ma , Bo Peng

We propose a non-Gaussian operator-valued extension of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility dynamics, defined as the square-root of an operator-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Levy noise and bounded drift. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Fred Espen Benth , Barbara Ruediger , Andre Suess