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We consider data fusion for the purpose of smoothing and interpolation based on observation records with missing data. Stochastic processes are generated by linear stochastic models. The paper begins by drawing a connection between time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-19 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

By employing the technique of enlargement of filtrations, we demonstrate how to incorporate information about the future trend of the stochastic interest rate process into a financial model. By modeling the interest rate as an affine…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-25 Bernardo D'Auria , José Antonio Salmerón

In this work, we propose an approach to generalize denoising diffusion probabilistic models for stock market predictions and portfolio management. Present works have demonstrated the efficacy of modeling interstock relations for market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Divyanshu Daiya , Monika Yadav , Harshit Singh Rao

We present a new algorithm to optimize distributions defined implicitly by parameterized stochastic diffusions. Doing so allows us to modify the outcome distribution of sampling processes by optimizing over their parameters. We introduce a…

Sequential models like recurrent neural networks and transformers have become standard for probabilistic multivariate time series forecasting across various domains. Despite their strengths, they struggle with capturing high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Yu Chen , Marin Biloš , Sarthak Mittal , Wei Deng , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider

We introduce a new methodology for forecasting which we call Signal Diffusion Mapping. Our approach accommodates features of real world financial data which have been ignored historically in existing forecasting methodologies. Our method…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-24 Paul Gaskell , Frank McGroarty , Thanassis Tiropanis

Diffusion-based inpainting can reconstruct missing image areas with high quality from sparse data, provided that their location and their values are well optimised. This is particularly useful for applications such as image compression,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Pascal Peter , Karl Schrader , Tobias Alt , Joachim Weickert

The ability to construct a realistic simulator of financial exchanges, including reproducing the dynamics of the limit order book, can give insight into many counterfactual scenarios, such as a flash crash, a margin call, or changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Namid R. Stillman , Rory Baggott , Justin Lyon , Jianfei Zhang , Dingqiu Zhu , Tao Chen , Perukrishnen Vytelingum

Existing approaches to diffusion-based inverse problem solvers frame the signal recovery task as a probabilistic sampling episode, where the solution is drawn from the desired posterior distribution. This framework suffers from several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Henry Li , Marcus Pereira

We consider optimal investment problems for a diffusion market model with non-observable random drifts that evolve as an Ito's process. Admissible strategies do not use direct observations of the market parameters, but rather use historical…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Addressing real-world optimization problems becomes particularly challenging when analytic objective functions or constraints are unavailable. While numerous studies have addressed the issue of unknown objectives, limited research has…

With the development of Artificial Intelligence, numerous real-world tasks have been accomplished using technology integrated with deep learning. To achieve optimal performance, deep neural networks typically require large volumes of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Yuren Zhang , Zhongnan Pu , Lei Jing

By the classical Martingale Representation Theorem, replication of random vectors can be achieved via stochastic integrals or solutions of stochastic differential equations. We introduce a new approach to replication of random vectors via…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have achieved promising results in diverse generative tasks. A typical DPM framework includes a forward process that gradually diffuses the data distribution and a reverse process that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Tianyu Pang , Cheng Lu , Chao Du , Min Lin , Shuicheng Yan , Zhijie Deng

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative priors for high-dimensional inverse problems, yet learning them when only corrupted or noisy observations are available remains challenging. In this work, we propose a new method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Danial Hosseintabar , Fan Chen , Giannis Daras , Antonio Torralba , Constantinos Daskalakis

We develop a new approximation theory for linear and quadratic interpolation models, suitable for use in convex-constrained derivative-free optimization (DFO). Most existing model-based DFO methods for constrained problems assume the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Lindon Roberts

Financial time series often exhibit low signal-to-noise ratio, posing significant challenges for accurate data interpretation and prediction and ultimately decision making. Generative models have gained attention as powerful tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Zhuohan Wang , Carmine Ventre

Recent advances in generative models have enabled significant progress in tasks such as generating and editing images from text, as well as creating videos from text prompts, and these methods are being applied across various fields.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Taegyeong Lee , Jiwon Park , Kyunga Bang , Seunghyun Hwang , Ung-Jin Jang

Predictive models trained on imbalanced data tend to produce biased results. This problem is exacerbated when there is not just one output label, but a set of them. This is the case for multilabel learning (MLL) algorithms used to classify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Francisco Charte , Miguel Ángel Dávila , María Dolores Pérez-Godoy , María José del Jesus

Classification tasks are usually evaluated in terms of accuracy. However, accuracy is discontinuous and cannot be directly optimized using gradient ascent. Popular methods minimize cross-entropy, hinge loss, or other surrogate losses, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Ivan Karpukhin , Stanislav Dereka , Sergey Kolesnikov
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