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We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields the tightest closed-form CS we have found for tracking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

Censored quantile regression (CQR) has become a valuable tool to study the heterogeneous association between a possibly censored outcome and a set of covariates, yet computation and statistical inference for CQR have remained a challenge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

Given a super-critical branching random walk on $\mathbb R$ started from the origin, let $M_n$ be the maximal position of individuals at the $n$-th generation. Under some mild conditions, it is known from \cite{A13} that as…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Xinxin Chen , Hui He

We consider the self-normalized sums $T_{n}=\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i}Y_{i}/\sum_{i=1}^{n}Y_{i}$, where ${Y_{i} : i\geq 1}$ are non-negative i.i.d. random variables, and ${X_{i} : i\geq 1} $ are i.i.d. random variables, independent of ${Y_{i} : i…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Peter Kevei , David M. Mason

We study the regularity of smooth functions whose derivatives are dominated by sequences of the form $M_p^{\tau,\s}=p^{\tau p^{\s}}$, $\tau>0$, $\s\geq1$. We show that such functions can be characterized through the decay properties of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Nenad Teofanov , Filip Tomic

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi = (\xi_n)$. We establish a Berry-Esseen bound and a Cram\'er's type large deviation expansion for $\log Z_n$ under the annealed law $\mathbb P$. We also improve…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Eric Miqueu

This paper proposes self-normalized tests for multistep conditional predictive ability in forecast comparison. By normalizing the sample mean of the transformed loss differential using functionals of its cumulative sum (CUSUM) process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Qitong Chen , Shuwen Lai

Let us consider i.i.d. random variables $\{a_k,b_k\}_{k \geq 1}$ defined on a common probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal F, \mathbb P)$, following a symmetric Rademacher distribution and the associated random trigonometric polynomials…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Jürgen Angst , Guillaume Poly

In this paper, we are interested in multitype self-similar growth-fragmentation processes. More precisely, we investigate a multitype version of the self-similar growth-fragmentation processes introduced by Bertoin, therefore extending the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-27 William Da Silva , Juan Carlos Pardo

We introduce a class of regularized M-estimators of multivariate scatter and show, analogous to the popular spatial sign covariance matrix (SSCM), that they possess high breakdown points. We also show that the SSCM can be viewed as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 David E. Tyler , Mengxi Yi , Klaus Nordhausen

In this paper, we give rates of convergence, for minimal distances and for the uniform distance, between the law of partial sums of martingale differences and thelimiting Gaussian distribution. More precisely, denoting by $P_{X}$ the law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Ze Jin , Xiaohan Yan , David S. Matteson

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimator of a probability density function and its partial derivatives. Unlike the density estimator, the derivatives estimators exhibit a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

We consider a one-dimensional random walk $S_n$ having i.i.d. increments with zero mean and finite variance. We continue our study of asymptotic expansions for local probabilities $\mathbf P(S_n=x,\tau_0>n)$, which has been started in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Denis Denisov , Alexander Tarasov , Vitali Wachtel

A highly popular regularized (shrinkage) covariance matrix estimator is the shrinkage sample covariance matrix (SCM) which shares the same set of eigenvectors as the SCM but shrinks its eigenvalues toward the grand mean of the eigenvalues…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Esa Ollila , Daniel P. Palomar , Frédéric Pascal

We study the long-time behavior of the (critical) Kohn--Sham equation in two and three dimensions, i.e.,\[ \mathrm{i} \partial_t {\gamma} = \Big[-\frac{1}{2}\Delta + \lambda \, |\cdot|^{-1} \ast \rho_{{\gamma}} + \mu \,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Masaki Kawamoto , Jinyeop Lee , Changhun Yang , Chanjin You

For an $n \times n$ independent-entry random matrix $X_n$ with eigenvalues $\lambda_1, \ldots, \lambda_n$, the seminal work of Rider and Silverstein asserts that the fluctuations of the linear eigenvalue statistics $\sum_{i=1}^n…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Sean O'Rourke , Noah Williams

Markovian growth-fragmentation processes introduced by Bertoin extend the pure fragmentation model by allowing the fragments to grow larger or smaller between dislocation events. What becomes of the known asymptotic behaviors of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Benjamin Dadoun

In this article we consider Wigner matrices $X_N$ with variance profiles (also called Wigner-type matrices) which are of the form $X_N(i,j) = \sigma(i/N,j/N) a_{i,j} / \sqrt{N}$ where $\sigma$ is a symmetric real positive function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Jonathan Husson