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We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

We consider the time evolution of the supercritical Galton-Watson model of branching particles with extra parameter (mass). In the moment of the division the mass of the particle (which is growing linearly after the birth) is divided in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Gregory Derfel , Yaqin Feng , Stanislav Molchanov

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Wenlong Mou , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

Can evolving networks be inferred and modeled without directly observing their nodes and edges? In many applications, the edges of a dynamic network might not be observed, but one can observe the dynamics of stochastic cascading processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Elahe Ghalebi , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Radu Grosu , Jure Leskovec

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

We consider a space structured population model generated by two point clouds: a homogeneous Poisson process $M$ with intensity $n\to\infty$ as a model for a parent generation together with a Cox point process $N$ as offspring generation,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Marc Hoffmann , Mathias Trabs

The case-control sampling design serves as a pivotal strategy in mitigating the imbalanced structure observed in binary data. We consider the estimation of a non-parametric logistic model with the case-control data supplemented by external…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Hengchao Shi , Ming Zheng , Wen Yu

The latent feature relational model (LFRM) is a generative model for graph-structured data to learn a binary vector representation for each node in the graph. The binary vector denotes the node's membership in one or more communities. At…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Gundeep Arora , Anupreet Porwal , Kanupriya Agarwal , Avani Samdariya , Piyush Rai

Randomized algorithms, such as randomized sketching or stochastic optimization, are a promising approach to ease the computational burden in analyzing large datasets. However, randomized algorithms also produce non-deterministic outputs,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Zhixiang Zhang , Sokbae Lee , Edgar Dobriban

We study a model of a branching process subject to selection, modeled by giving each family an individual fitness acting as a branching rate, and mutation, modeled by resampling the fitness of a proportion of offspring in each generation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Peter Mörters

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

The spread of infectious disease in a human community or the proliferation of fake news on social media can be modeled as a randomly growing tree-shaped graph. The history of the random growth process is often unobserved but contains…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Harry Crane , Min Xu

Stochastic processes can model many emerging phenomena on networks, like the spread of computer viruses, rumors, or infectious diseases. Understanding the dynamics of such stochastic spreading processes is therefore of fundamental interest.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

A version of ``preferential attachment'' random graphs, corresponding to linear ``weights'' with random ``edge additions,'' which generalizes some previously considered models, is studied. This graph model is embedded in a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 K. B. Athreya , A. P. Ghosh , S. Sethuraman

We propose a novel use of a broadcasting operation, which distributes univariate functions to all entries of the tensor covariate, to model the nonlinearity in tensor regression nonparametrically. A penalized estimation and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Ya Zhou , Raymond K. W. Wong , Kejun He

This paper is a short summary of the main results in the thesis [1]. Based on the P2P paradigm we construct a stochastic model for a live media streaming content delivery network. Starting from the behavior of the out degree process of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Andrea Monsellato

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

We investigate bifurcations in feedforward coupled cell networks. Feedforward structure (the absence of feedback) can be defined by a partial order on the cells. We use this property to study generic one-parameter steady state bifurcations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Sören von der Gracht , Eddie Nijholt , Bob Rink

This work focuses on clustering populations with a hierarchical dependency structure that can be described by a tree. A particular example that is the focus of our work is the phylogenetic tree, with nodes often representing biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-28 Hanxi Sun , Heejung Shim , Vinayak Rao