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We study the nonparametric estimation of the branching rate $B(x)$ of a supercritical Bellman-Harris population: a particle with age $x$ has a random lifetime governed by $B(x)$; at its death time, it gives rise to $k \geq 2$ children with…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-10-14 Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier

We consider the problem of estimating the division rate of a size-structured population in a nonparametric setting. The size of the system evolves according to a transport-fragmentation equation: each individual grows with a given transport…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-21 Marie Doumic Jauffret , Marc Hoffmann , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

We consider nonparametric regression under covariate shift, where we observe samples from both the target distribution and a related but distinct source distribution. We introduce a novel object, the transfer function, and show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Petr Zamolodtchikov

Consider a multi-dimensional supercritical branching process with offspring distribution in a parametric family. Here, each vector coordinate corresponds to the number of offspring of a given type. The process is observed under family-size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Gonzalo Contador , Bret Hanlon

Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

We consider a branching model introduced by Kimmel for cell division with parasite infection. Cells contain proliferating parasites which are shared randomly between the two daughter cells when they divide. We determine the probability that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-28 Vincent Bansaye

Stem cells, through their ability to produce daughter stem cells and differentiate into specialized cells, are essential in the growth, maintenance, and repair of biological tissues. Understanding the dynamics of cell populations in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-02 Huyen Nguyen , Haim Bar , Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

Many models of epidemic spread have a common qualitative structure. The numbers of infected individuals during the initial stages of an epidemic can be well approximated by a branching process, after which the proportion of individuals that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 A. D. Barbour , Gesine Reinert

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

We model the growth of a cell population by a piecewise deterministic Markov branching tree. Each cell splits into two offsprings at a division rate $B(x)$ that depends on its size $x$. The size of each cell grows exponentially in time, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Marie Doumic , Marc Hoffmann , Nathalie Krell , Lydia Robert

We consider a stochastic individual-based model in continuous time to describe a size-structured population for cell divisions. This model is motivated by the detection of cellular aging in biology. We address here the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Van Ha Hoang , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc , Vincent Rivoirard , Viet Chi Tran

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Vincent Bansaye , Michele Salvi

Branching process approximation to the initial stages of an epidemic process has been used since the 1950's as a technique for providing stochastic counterparts to deterministic epidemic threshold theorems. One way of describing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-22 A. D. Barbour

An individual-based model of stochastic branching is proposed and studied, in which point particles drift in $\bar{\mathds{R}}_{+}:=[0,+\infty)$ towards the origin (edge) with unit speed, where each of them splits into two particles that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Yuri Kozitsky

We propose and analyze a new class of controlled multi-type branching processes with a per-step linear resource constraint, motivated by potential applications in viral marketing and cancer treatment. We show that the optimal exponential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Shie Mannor , Kuang Xu

We establish an explicit rate of convergence for some systems of mean-field interacting diffusions with logistic binary branching towards the solutions of nonlinear evolution equations with non-local self-diffusion and logistic mass growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Joaquín Fontbona , Felipe Muñoz-Hernández

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

We consider an exactly solvable model of branching random walk with random selection, which describes the evolution of a population with $N$ individuals on the real line. At each time step, every individual reproduces independently, and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-12 Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill
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