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This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

We develop new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to estimate the expectation of the smallest eigenvalue of a stochastic convection-diffusion operator with random coefficients. The MLMC method is based on a sequence of finite element…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Tiangang Cui , Hans De Sterck , Alexander D. Gilbert , Stanislav Polishchuk , Robert Scheichl

We introduce a stochastic process and functional that should describe the semigroup generated by the stochastic Bessel operator. Recently Gorin and Shkolnikov showed that the largest eigenvalues for certain random matrix ensembles with soft…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Patrick Waters

Semigroups, generated by Feller processes killed upon leaving a given domain, are considered. These semigroups correspond to Cauchy-Dirichlet type initial-exterior value problems in this domain for a class of evolution equations with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-08 Yana A. Butko

Existing algorithms for subgroup discovery with numerical targets do not optimize the error or target variable dispersion of the groups they find. This often leads to unreliable or inconsistent statements about the data, rendering practical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Mario Boley , Bryan R. Goldsmith , Luca M. Ghiringhelli , Jilles Vreeken

Diffusion models for continuous state spaces based on Gaussian noising processes are now relatively well understood from both practical and theoretical perspectives. In contrast, results for diffusion models on discrete state spaces remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus , Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Gael Raoul

This topical review describes the methodology of continuum variational and diffusion quantum Monte Carlo calculations. These stochastic methods are based on many-body wave functions and are capable of achieving very high accuracy. The…

Materials Science · Physics 2010-02-11 R. J. Needs , M. D. Towler , N. D. Drummond , P. Lopez Rios

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

We prove optimal estimates for the decay in time of solutions to a rather general class of non-local in time subdiffusion equations in $\mathbb{R}^d$. An important special case is the time-fractional diffusion equation, which has seen much…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jukka Kemppainen , Juhana Siljander , Vicente Vergara , Rico Zacher

We introduce forward-backward stochastic differential equations, highlighting the connection between solutions of these and solutions of partial differential equations, related by the Feynman-Kac theorem. We review the technique of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Oliver Sheridan-Methven

This article is concerned with the convergence of the state estimate obtained from the discrete time Kalman filter to the continuous time estimate as the temporal discretization is refined. We derive convergence rate estimates for different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-10 Atte Aalto

We provide a general method to analyze the asymptotic properties of a variety of estimators of continuous time diffusion processes when the data are not only discretely sampled in time but the time separating successive observations may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yacine Ait-Sahalia , Per A. Mykland

Single particle tracking has become a standard tool to investigate diffusive properties, especially in small systems such as biological cells. Usually the resulting time series are analyzed in terms of time averages over individual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Jae-Hyung Jeon , Ralf Metzler

In this article, we complement recent results on the convergence of the state estimate obtained by applying the discrete-time Kalman filter on a time-sampled continuous-time system. As the temporal discretization is refined, the estimate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Atte Aalto

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Neil K. Chada , Jordan Franks , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Matti Vihola

In this paper we introduce and discuss numerical schemes for the approximation of kinetic equations for flocking behavior with phase transitions that incorporate uncertain quantities. This class of schemes here considered make use of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Jose Antonio Carrillo , Mattia Zanella

In this work, we consider the numerical solution of an initial boundary value problem for the distributed order time fractional diffusion equation. The model arises in the mathematical modeling of ultra-slow diffusion processes observed in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Bangti Jin , Raytcho Lazarov , Dongwoo Sheen , Zhi Zhou

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

The maximum entropy principle is a powerful tool for solving underdetermined inverse problems. This paper considers the problem of discretizing a continuous distribution, which arises in various applied fields. We obtain the approximating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Ken'ichiro Tanaka , Alexis Akira Toda

Dynamic structural equation models (DSEMs) combine time-series modeling of within-person processes with hierarchical modeling of between-person differences and differences between timepoints, and have become very popular for the analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Øystein Sørensen
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