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Related papers: Compound Hawkes Processes in Limit Order Books

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High-frequency market making is a liquidity-providing trading strategy that simultaneously generates many bids and asks for a security at ultra-low latency while maintaining a relatively neutral position. The strategy makes a profit from…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Pankaj Kumar

In this paper, we establish a large deviations principle for a multivariate compound process induced by a multivariate Hawkes process with random marks. Our proof hinges on showing essential smoothness of the limiting cumulant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-29 Raviar S. Karim , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel R. H. Mandjes

We analyze a tractable model of a limit order book on short time scales, where the dynamics are driven by stochastic fluctuations between supply and demand. We establish the existence of a limiting distribution for the highest bid, and for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Frank Kelly , Elena Yudovina

This article presents a Hawkes process model with Markovian baseline intensities for high-frequency order book data modeling. We classify intraday order book trading events into a range of categories based on their order types and the price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Philip Protter , Qianfan Wu , Shihao Yang

This paper investigates real-time detection of spoofing activity in limit order books, focusing on cryptocurrency centralized exchanges. We first introduce novel order flow variables based on multi-scale Hawkes processes that account both…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Timothée Fabre , Damien Challet

Tick-sizes not only influence the granularity of the price formation process but also affect market agents' behavior. We investigate the disparity in the microstructural properties of the Limit Order Book (LOB) across a basket of assets…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Konark Jain , Jean-François Muzy , Jonathan Kochems , Emmanuel Bacry

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

How heterogeneous multiscale methods (HMM) handle fluctuations acting on the slow variables in fast-slow systems is investigated. In particular, it is shown via analysis of central limit theorems (CLT) and large deviation principles (LDP)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-12 David Kelly , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Using simple particle models of limit order markets, we argue that mid-term over-diffusive price behaviour is inherent to the very nature of these markets. Several rules for rate changes are considered. We obtain analytical results for…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

We define a stochastic model of a two-sided limit order book in terms of its key quantities \textit{best bid [ask] price} and the \textit{standing buy [sell] volume density}. For a simple scaling of the discreteness parameters, that keeps…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-06 Ulrich Horst , Michael Paulsen

High Frequency Trading (HFT) represents an ever growing proportion of all financial transactions as most markets have now switched to electronic order book systems. The main goal of the paper is to propose continuous time equations which…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-10 Rene Carmona , Kevin Webster

With the proliferation of algorithmic high-frequency trading in financial markets, the Limit Order Book has generated increased research interest. Research is still at an early stage and there is much we do not understand about the dynamics…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-05 Faisal I Qureshi

Properties of strong mixing have been established for the stationary linear Hawkes process in the univariate case, and can serve as a basis for statistical applications. In this paper, we provide the technical arguments needed to extend the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Ousmane Boly , Felix Cheysson , Thi Hien Nguyen

This study examine the theoretical and empirical perspectives of the symmetric Hawkes model of the price tick structure. Combined with the maximum likelihood estimation, the model provides a proper method of volatility estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

We propose and study a simple stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, in which arrivals of market order, limit orders and order cancellations are described in terms of a Markovian queueing system. Through its analytical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Rama Cont , Adrien De Larrard

Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes that are self-exciting and have clustering effect, with wide applications in finance, social networks and many other fields. This paper considers a self-exciting Hawkes process where…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-10 Xuefeng Gao , Xiang Zhou , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper introduces a jump-diffusion pricing model specifically designed for algorithmic trading and high-frequency trading (HFT). The model incorporates independent jump and diffusion processes, providing a more precise representation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-05 Luca Lalor , Anatoliy Swishchuk

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of networks of interacting non-linear Hawkes processes modeling a homogeneous population of neurons in the large population limit. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Sophie Heesen , Wilhelm Stannat

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process with constraints on its conditional density. It is a multivariate point process with conditional intensity similar to that of a multivariate Hawkes process but certain events are forbidden with…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-14 Ban Zheng , François Roueff , Frédéric Abergel

Accurately forecasting the direction of financial returns poses a formidable challenge, given the inherent unpredictability of financial time series. The task becomes even more arduous when applied to cryptocurrency returns, given the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Filippo Barchi , Riccardo Busetto , Daniele Marazzina , Simone Formentin