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We propose a test of many zero parameter restrictions in a high dimensional linear iid regression model with $k$ $>>$ $n$ regressors. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many low dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Jonathan B. Hill

When utilising PAC-Bayes theory for risk certification, it is usually necessary to estimate and bound the Gibbs risk of the PAC-Bayes posterior. Many works in the literature employ a method for this which requires a large number of passes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Felix Biggs

In this work we show a Bayesian quantile regression method to response variables with mixed discrete-continuous distribution with a point mass at zero, where these observations are believed to be left censored or true zeros. We combine the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-19 Bruno Santos , Heleno Bolfarine

Standard Bayesian learning is known to have suboptimal generalization capabilities under misspecification and in the presence of outliers. PAC-Bayes theory demonstrates that the free energy criterion minimized by Bayesian learning is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Marios Kountouris , David Gesbert

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

PAC-Bayesian set up involves a stochastic classifier characterized by a posterior distribution on a classifier set, offers a high probability bound on its averaged true risk and is robust to the training sample used. For a given posterior,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Puja Sahu , Nandyala Hemachandra

In this work, we propose a PAC-Bayes bound for the generalization risk of the Gibbs classifier in the multi-class classification framework. The novelty of our work is the critical use of the confusion matrix of a classifier as an error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-23 Emilie Morvant , Sokol Koço , Liva Ralaivola

Bayesian networks are one of the most widely used classes of probabilistic models for risk management and decision support because of their interpretability and flexibility in including heterogeneous pieces of information. In any applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Manuele Leonelli , Jim Q. Smith , Sophia K. Wright

When I first encountered PAC-Bayesian concentration inequalities they seemed to me to be rather disconnected from good old-fashioned results like Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities. But, at least for one flavour of the PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-08 Tim van Erven

We present a new PAC-Bayesian generalization bound. Standard bounds contain a $\sqrt{L_n \cdot \KL/n}$ complexity term which dominates unless $L_n$, the empirical error of the learning algorithm's randomized predictions, vanishes. We manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Zakaria Mhammedi , Peter D. Grunwald , Benjamin Guedj

In spite of several notable efforts, explaining the generalization of deterministic non-smooth deep nets, e.g., ReLU-nets, has remained challenging. Existing approaches for deterministic non-smooth deep nets typically need to bound the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Arindam Banerjee , Tiancong Chen , Yingxue Zhou

Consider the problem of estimating parameters $X^n \in \mathbb{R}^n $, generated by a stationary process, from $m$ response variables $Y^m = AX^n+Z^m$, under the assumption that the distribution of $X^n$ is known. This is the most general…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Shirin Jalali , Arian Maleki

This article proposes a Bayesian approach to regression with a scalar response against vector and tensor covariates. Tensor covariates are commonly vectorized prior to analysis, failing to exploit the structure of the tensor, and resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-23 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Shaan Qamar , David B. Dunson

Due to their importance in both data analysis and numerical algorithms, low rank approximations have recently been widely studied. They enable the handling of very large matrices. Tight error bounds for the computationally efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Frank de Hoog , Markus Hegland

Asymptotic lower bounds for estimation play a fundamental role in assessing the quality of statistical procedures. In this paper we propose a framework for obtaining semi-parametric efficiency bounds for sparse high-dimensional models,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

In this paper we derive a PAC-Bayesian error bound for autonomous stochastic LTI state-space models. The motivation for deriving such error bounds is that they will allow deriving similar error bounds for more general dynamical systems,…

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

We study first-order optimization algorithms for computing the barycenter of Gaussian distributions with respect to the optimal transport metric. Although the objective is geodesically non-convex, Riemannian GD empirically converges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Jason M. Altschuler , Sinho Chewi , Patrik Gerber , Austin J. Stromme

In this paper, we investigate the question: Given a small number of datapoints, for example N = 30, how tight can PAC-Bayes and test set bounds be made? For such small datasets, test set bounds adversely affect generalisation performance by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Richard E. Turner

This paper contains a recipe for deriving new PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds based on the $(f, \Gamma)$-divergence, and, in addition, presents PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds where we interpolate between a series of probability divergences…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Paul Viallard , Maxime Haddouche , Umut Şimşekli , Benjamin Guedj