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In this paper, we establish novel data-dependent upper bounds on the generalization error through the lens of a "variable-size compressibility" framework that we introduce newly here. In this framework, the generalization error of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-12 Milad Sefidgaran , Abdellatif Zaidi

We study the issue of PAC-Bayesian domain adaptation: We want to learn, from a source domain, a majority vote model dedicated to a target one. Our theoretical contribution brings a new perspective by deriving an upper-bound on the target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-27 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , François Laviolette , Emilie Morvant

Since their inception, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have become central in machine learning. Despite their widespread use, numerous questions regarding their theoretical properties remain open. Using PAC-Bayesian theory, this work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Sokhna Diarra Mbacke , Florence Clerc , Pascal Germain

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

We describe a numerical scheme for evaluating the posterior moments of Bayesian linear regression models with partial pooling of the coefficients. The principal analytical tool of the evaluation is a change of basis from coefficient space…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-01 Philip Greengard , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

An important yet underexplored question in the PAC-Bayes literature is how much tightness we lose by restricting the posterior family to factorized Gaussian distributions when optimizing a PAC-Bayes bound. We investigate this issue by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Szilvia Ujváry , Gergely Flamich , Vincent Fortuin , José Miguel Hernández Lobato

We give a general recipe for derandomising PAC-Bayesian bounds using margins, with the critical ingredient being that our randomised predictions concentrate around some value. The tools we develop straightforwardly lead to margin bounds for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Felix Biggs , Benjamin Guedj

Generalization in deep learning has been the topic of much recent theoretical and empirical research. Here we introduce desiderata for techniques that predict generalization errors for deep learning models in supervised learning. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Guillermo Valle-Pérez , Ard A. Louis

Bayesian neural networks promise calibrated uncertainty but require $O(mn)$ parameters for standard mean-field Gaussian posteriors. We argue this cost is often unnecessary, particularly when weight matrices exhibit fast singular value…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mame Diarra Toure , David A. Stephens

We exhibit a strong link between frequentist PAC-Bayesian risk bounds and the Bayesian marginal likelihood. That is, for the negative log-likelihood loss function, we show that the minimization of PAC-Bayesian generalization risk bounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-14 Pascal Germain , Francis Bach , Alexandre Lacoste , Simon Lacoste-Julien

PAC-Bayes bounds have been proposed to get risk estimates based on a training sample. In this paper the PAC-Bayes approach is combined with stability of the hypothesis learned by a Hilbert space valued algorithm. The PAC-Bayes setting is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-31 Omar Rivasplata , Emilio Parrado-Hernandez , John Shawe-Taylor , Shiliang Sun , Csaba Szepesvari

Given a sample of i.i.d. high-dimensional centered random vectors, we consider a problem of estimation of their covariance matrix $\Sigma$ with an additional assumption that $\Sigma$ can be represented as a sum of a few Kronecker products…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Nikita Puchkin , Maxim Rakhuba

Modern machine learning usually involves predictors in the overparameterised setting (number of trained parameters greater than dataset size), and their training yields not only good performance on training data, but also good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-12 Maxime Haddouche , Paul Viallard , Umut Simsekli , Benjamin Guedj

PAC-Bayesian is an analysis framework where the training error can be expressed as the weighted average of the hypotheses in the posterior distribution whilst incorporating the prior knowledge. In addition to being a pure generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Wei Huang , Chunrui Liu , Yilan Chen , Tianyu Liu , Richard Yi Da Xu

We prove general exponential moment inequalities for averages of [0,1]-valued iid random variables and use them to tighten the PAC Bayesian Theorem. The logarithmic dependence on the sample count in the enumerator of the PAC Bayesian bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andreas Maurer

Aggregated predictors are obtained by making a set of basic predictors vote according to some weights, that is, to some probability distribution. Randomized predictors are obtained by sampling in a set of basic predictors, according to some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Pierre Alquier

PAC-Bayesian learning bounds are of the utmost interest to the learning community. Their role is to connect the generalization ability of an aggregation distribution $\rho$ to its empirical risk and to its Kullback-Leibler divergence with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-24 Pierre Alquier , Benjamin Guedj

Datasets displaying temporal dependencies abound in science and engineering applications, with Markov models representing a simplified and popular view of the temporal dependence structure. In this paper, we consider Bayesian settings that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

This note examines the behavior of generalization capabilities - as defined by out-of-sample mean squared error (MSE) - of Linear Gaussian (with a fixed design matrix) and Linear Least Squares regression. Particularly, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Karthik Duraisamy

This paper provides a theoretical analysis of domain adaptation based on the PAC-Bayesian theory. We propose an improvement of the previous domain adaptation bound obtained by Germain et al. in two ways. We first give another generalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-14 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , Francois Laviolette , Emilie Morvant