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The normal distribution and its perturbation has left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Hence, several generalized forms were developed to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. However, it is not easy to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Matthias Wagener , Mohammad Arashi

In this work, we develop a constructive modeling framework for extreme threshold exceedances in repeated observations of spatial fields, based on general product mixtures of random fields possessing light or heavy-tailed margins and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-20 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

We introduce a statistical model for operational losses based on heavy-tailed distributions and bipartite graphs, which captures the event type and business line structure of operational risk data. The model explicitly takes into account…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-11 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Sandra Paterlini

Generalized Class Discovery (GCD) plays a pivotal role in discerning both known and unknown categories from unlabeled datasets by harnessing the insights derived from a labeled set comprising recognized classes. A significant limitation in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Ziyun Li , Christoph Meinel , Haojin Yang

A graphical tool for investigating unimodality of hyperspherical data is proposed. It is based on the notion of statistical data depth function for directional data which extends the univariate concept of rank. Firstly a local version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Giuseppe Pandolfo

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

Artificial intelligence has advanced quantitative remote sensing, yet its effectiveness is constrained by imbalanced label distribution. This imbalance leads conventionally trained models to favor common samples, which in turn degrades…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Fangjian Zhang , Xiaoyong Zhuge , Wenlan Wang , Haixia Xiao , Yuying Zhu , Siyang Cheng

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

In risk analysis, a global fit that appropriately captures the body and the tail of the distribution of losses is essential. Modelling the whole range of the losses using a standard distribution is usually very hard and often impossible due…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-19 Tom Reynkens , Roel Verbelen , Jan Beirlant , Katrien Antonio

In this article we propose and validate an unsupervised probabilistic model, Gaussian Latent Dirichlet Allocation (GLDA), for the problem of discrete state discovery from repeated, multivariate psychophysiological samples collected from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Congyu Wu , Aaron Fisher , David Schnyer

How to estimate the uncertainty of a given model is a crucial problem. Current calibration techniques treat different classes equally and thus implicitly assume that the distribution of training data is balanced, but ignore the fact that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Jiahao Chen , Bing Su

We present a quasi-conjugate Bayes approach for estimating Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) parameters, distribution tails and extreme quantiles within the Peaks-Over-Threshold framework. Damsleth conjugate Bayes structure on Gamma…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-01 Jean Diebolt , Mhamed El-Aroui , Myriam Garrido , Stéphane Girard

This article extends the multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT) to discrete settings, focusing on the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as a foundational tool. The purpose of the study is to enhance the understanding of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-25 Samira Aka , Marie Kratz , Philippe Naveau

Traffic forecasting is pivotal for intelligent transportation systems, where accurate and interpretable predictions can significantly enhance operational efficiency and safety. A key challenge stems from the heterogeneity of traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Alexandre Alahi , Adrian Munteanu

Recent theoretical studies have shown that heavy-tails can emerge in stochastic optimization due to `multiplicative noise', even under surprisingly simple settings, such as linear regression with Gaussian data. While these studies have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Yuanhan Hu , Umut Simsekli , Kun Yuan , Lingjiong Zhu

In the real-world setting, data often follows a long-tailed distribution, where head classes contain significantly more training samples than tail classes. Consequently, models trained on such data tend to be biased toward head classes. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Fan Zhang , Wei Qin , Weijieying Ren , Lei Wang , Zetong Chen , Richang Hong

This work proposes a novel method to robustly and accurately model time series with heavy-tailed noise, in non-stationary scenarios. In many practical application time series have heavy-tailed noise that significantly impacts the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-01 Elena Ehrlich , Laurent Callot , François-Xavier Aubet

A composite loss framework is proposed for low-rank modeling of data consisting of interesting and common values, such as excess zeros or missing values. The methodology is motivated by the generalized low-rank framework and the hurdle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-07 Christopher Dienes

Since the turn of the century, there has been increased interest in the application of heavy-tailed distributions, particularly stable distributions, to problems in physics and finance. Although, the tails of stable distributions provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová
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