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To aid in prediction of turbulent boundary layer flows over rough surfaces, a new model is proposed to estimate hydrodynamic roughness based solely on geometric surface information. The model is based on a fluid-mechanics motivated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-18 Charles Meneveau , Nicholas Hutchins , Daniel Chung

Space weather predictions of the solar wind impacting Earth are usually first based on remote-sensing observations of the solar disc and corona, and eventually validated and/or refined with in-situ measurements taken at the Sun$-$Earth…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Erika Palmerio

The share of wind power in fuel mixes worldwide has increased considerably. The main ingredient when deriving wind power predictions are wind speed data; the closer to the wind farms, the better they forecast the power supply. The current…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-17 Mihaela Puica , Fred Espen Benth

Empirical diagnosis of stability has received considerable attention, mostly focused on variance metrics for early warning signals of abrupt system change. Despite this, the theoretical foundation and application has been limited to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-09-11 Zachary C Williams , Dylan E McNamara

Wind speed is a powerful source of renewable energy, which can be used as an alternative to the non-renewable resources for production of electricity. Renewable sources are clean, infinite and do not impact the environment negatively during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Swayamjit Saha

With climate change, we are expecting more frequent extreme weather events in many regions worldwide. These events can trigger disruptive, deadly natural hazards, which catch the attention of the media and raise awareness in citizens and…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-17 Marco Loche , Gianvito Scaringi

We present a regime-switching vector-autoregressive method for very-short-term wind speed forecasting at multiple locations with regimes based on large-scale meteorological phenomena. Statistical methods short-term wind forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-31 Jethro Browell , Daniel R. Drew , Kostas Philippopoulos

A simple analytical/numerical model has been developed for computing the evolution, over periods of up to a few hours, of the current and temperature profile in the upper layer of the ocean. The model is based upon conservation laws for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alastair D. Jenkins , Brian Ward

When submitted to the repeated passages of vehicles unpaved roads made of sand or gravel can develop a ripply pattern known as washboard or corrugated road. We propose a stability analysis based on experimental measurements of the force…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-01-21 Baptiste Percier , Sébastien Manneville , Nicolas Taberlet

The atmospheric properties above three sites on the Internal Antarctic Plateau are investigated for astronomical applications calculating the monthly median of the analysis-data from ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-01-22 S. Hagelin , E. Masciadri , F. Lascaux , J. Stoesz

The volatile nature of wind power generation creates challenges in achieving secure power grid operations. It is, therefore, necessary to make accurate wind power prediction and its uncertainty quantification. Wind power forecasting usually…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-29 Jingxing Wang , Abdullah Alshelahi , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

We propose a theoretical model for ice growth under a wind-driven supercooled water film. The thickness and surface velocity of the water layer are variable by changing the air stream velocity. For a given water supply rate, linear…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-27 K. Ueno , M. Farzaneh

Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Ephrem Admasu Yekun , Alem H. Fitwib , Selvi Karpaga Subramaniand , Anubhav Kumard , Teshome Goa Tella

The paper introduces a new methodology for assessing on-line the prediction risk of short-term wind power forecasts. The first part of this methodology consists in computing confidence intervals with a confidence level defined by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-10-05 Georges Kariniotakis , Pierre Pinson

In this paper, we study the structure and stability of line driven winds using numerical hydrodynamic simulations. We calculate the radiation force from an explicit non-local solution of the radiation transfer equation, rather than a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 E. L. Gomez , R. J. R. Williams

Localization using a single range anchor combined with onboard optical-inertial odometry offers a lightweight solution that provides multidimensional measurements for the positioning of unmanned aerial vehicles. Unfortunately, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Kaiwen Xiong , Sijia Chen , Wei Dong

Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Emil Marcus Buchberg , Kent Vugs Nielsen

High-resolution, near-ground wind-speed data are critical for improving the accuracy of weather predictions and climate models,$^{1-3}$ supporting wildfire control efforts,$^{4-7}$ and ensuring the safe passage of airplanes during takeoff…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-16 Roni H. Goldshmid , John O. Dabiri , John E. Sader

Atmospheric wind speeds and their fluctuations at different locations (onshore and offshore) are examined. One of the most striking features is the marked intermittency of probability density functions (PDF) of velocity differences -- no…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Böttcher , St. Barth , J. Peinke

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli