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We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Structured prediction involves learning to predict complex structures rather than simple scalar values. The main challenge arises from the non-Euclidean nature of the output space, which generally requires relaxing the problem formulation.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-19 Junjie Yang , Matthieu Labeau , Florence d'Alché-Buc

The computational cost for high energy physics detector simulation in future experimental facilities is going to exceed the current available resources. To overcome this challenge, new ideas on surrogate models using machine learning…

The unknown parameters of simulation models often need to be calibrated using observed data. When simulation models are expensive, calibration is usually carried out with an emulator. The effectiveness of the calibration process can be…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-03 Özge Sürer , Stefan M. Wild

The repeated solution of large-scale optimization problems arises frequently in process systems engineering tasks. Decomposition-based solution methods have been widely used to reduce the corresponding computational time, yet their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Ilias Mitrai , Prodromos Daoutidis

One method to solve expensive black-box optimization problems is to use a surrogate model that approximates the objective based on previous observed evaluations. The surrogate, which is cheaper to evaluate, is optimized instead to find an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Rickard Karlsson , Laurens Bliek , Sicco Verwer , Mathijs de Weerdt

The efficient, automated search for well-performing neural architectures (NAS) has drawn increasing attention in the recent past. Thereby, the predominant research objective is to reduce the necessity of costly evaluations of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Jovita Lukasik , Steffen Jung , Margret Keuper

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Complex computer codes, for instance simulating physical phenomena, are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-04-22 Bertrand Iooss , Loïc Boussouf , Vincent Feuillard , Amandine Marrel

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

Surrogate models provide a quick-to-evaluate approximation to complex computational models and are essential for multi-query problems like design optimisation. The inputs of current deterministic computational models are usually…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-15 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

In clinical trials, there is potential to improve precision and reduce the required sample size by appropriately adjusting for baseline variables in the statistical analysis. This is called covariate adjustment. Despite recommendations by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Kelly Van Lancker , Joshua Betz , Michael Rosenblum

Two-stage stochastic programs (2SPs) are important tools for making decisions under uncertainty. Decision-makers use contextual information to generate a set of scenarios to represent the true conditional distribution. However, the number…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-11 David Islip , Roy H. Kwon , Sanghyeon Bae , Woo Chang Kim

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

The development of a reliable and robust surrogate model is often constrained by the dimensionality of the problem. For a system with high-dimensional inputs/outputs (I/O), conventional approaches usually use a low-dimensional manifold to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-01 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

In nested simulation literature, a common assumption is that the experimenter can choose the number of outer scenarios to sample. This paper considers the case when the experimenter is given a fixed set of outer scenarios from an external…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Mingbin Ben Feng , Eunhye Song

Computer models are used as replacements for physical experiments in a large variety of applications. Nevertheless, direct use of the computer model for the ultimate scientific objective is often limited by the complexity and cost of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-03 Sonja Surjanovic , William J. Welch

We propose an optimization algorithm to improve the design and performance of quantum communication networks. When physical architectures become too complex for analytical methods, numerical simulation becomes essential to study quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-21 Luise Prielinger , Álvaro G. Iñesta , Gayane Vardoyan
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