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Bayesian inference is often implemented using approximations, which can yield interval estimates that are too narrow, not fully capturing the uncertainty in the posterior distribution. We address the question of how to adjust these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Tiffany Cai , Philip Greengard , Ben Goodrich , Andrew Gelman

Computing the similarity between two probability distributions is a recurring theme across control. We introduce a unified family of distances between the probability distributions of two random variables that is based on the discrepancy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-03 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Arec Jamgochian , Nazim Kemal Ure , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Stephen P. Boyd

We investigate approximation of a Bernoulli partial sum process to the accompanying Poisson process in the non-i.i.d. case. The rate of closeness is studied in terms of the minimal distance in probability.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Pavel S. Ruzankin , Igor S. Borisov

Non-uniform estimates are obtained for Poisson, compound Poisson, translated Poisson, negative binomial and binomial approximations to sums of of m-dependent integer-valued random variables. Estimates for Wasserstein metric also follow…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 P. Vellaisamy , V. Cekanavicius

Errors of approximations of the quasi-stationary distribution (the QSD) of the logistic SIS model are evaluated numerically. The results are used to derive asymptotic approximations of the approximation errors for large populations. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Ingemar Nåsell

A common heuristic in semi-supervised deep learning (SSDL) is to select unlabelled data based on a notion of semantic similarity to the labelled data. For example, labelled images of numbers should be paired with unlabelled images of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Saul Calderon-Ramirez , Luis Oala

Distance measures are part and parcel of many computer vision algorithms. The underlying assumption in all existing distance measures is that feature elements are independent and identically distributed. However, in real-world settings,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Muthukaruppan Swaminathan , Pankaj Kumar Yadav , Obdulio Piloto , Tobias Sjöblom , Ian Cheong

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

We begin by introducing a class of conditional density estimators based on local polynomial techniques. The estimators are boundary adaptive and easy to implement. We then study the (pointwise and) uniform statistical properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

In this paper we present an alternative representation of the Negative Binomial--Lindley distribution recently proposed by Zamani and Ismail (2010) which shows some advantages over the latter model. This new formulation provides a tractable…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-16 Emilio Gomez-Deniz , Enrique Calderin-Ojeda

Combining p-values from multiple independent tests is a fundamental task in statistical inference, but presents unique challenges when the p-values are discrete. We extend a recent optimal transport-based framework for combining discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Gonzalo Contador , Zheyang Wu

To infer the parameters of mechanistic models with intractable likelihoods, techniques such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly being adopted. One of the main disadvantages of ABC in practical situations, however, is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-03 Jonathan U Harrison , Ruth E Baker

In this paper we develop proximal methods for statistical learning. Proximal point algorithms are useful in statistics and machine learning for obtaining optimization solutions for composite functions. Our approach exploits closed-form…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Brandon T. Willard

Consider the collection of all binary matrices having a specific sequence of row and column sums and consider sampling binary matrices uniformly from this collection. Practical algorithms for exact uniform sampling are not known, but there…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-28 Matthew T. Harrison

We consider time-dependent dynamical systems arising as sequential compositions of self-maps of a probability space. We establish conditions under which the Birkhoff sums for multivariate observations, given a centering and a general…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-02 Xinjia Chen

In this work, we propose a new local optimization method to solve a class of nonconvex semidefinite programming (SDP) problems. The basic idea is to approximate the feasible set of the nonconvex SDP problem by inner positive semidefinite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Quoc Tran Dinh , Wim Michiels , Moritz Diehl

This paper deals with the Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of the max statistic in high dimensions. This statistic takes the form of the maximum over components of the sum of independent random vectors and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato , Yuta Koike
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