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This paper introduces a Gaussian Bayesian Network-based Extended Kalman Filter (GBN-EKF) for non-linear state estimators on stiff and ill-conditioned continuous-discrete stochastic systems, with a further analysis on systems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Priyank Behera , C. Robert Kenley

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

For many nonlinear Bayesian state estimation problems, the posterior recursion is not analytically tractable, leading to algorithms that are influenced by numerical approximation errors. These algorithms depend on parameters that affect the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Ondrej Straka , Felipe Giraldo-Grueso , Renato Zanetti

Nonlinear model predictive control has become a popular approach to deal with highly nonlinear and unsteady state systems, the performance of which can however deteriorate due to unaccounted uncertainties. Model predictive control is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Eric Bradford , Lars Imsland

This paper addresses state estimation of linear systems with special attention on unknown process and measurement noise covariances, aiming to enhance estimation accuracy while preserving the stability guarantee of the Kalman filter. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Xiangxiang Dong , Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Yunze Cai

Conventional Bayesian estimation requires an accurate stochastic model of a system. However, this requirement is not always met in many practical cases where the system is not completely known or may differ from the assumed model. For such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik

Accurate state estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is fundamental to modern aerospace operations across air, sea, and space domains. Online tracking of adversarial unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is especially challenging due to agile…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Akhil Gupta , Erhan Guven

We consider the problem of estimating the means $\mu_i$ of $n$ random variables $Y_i \sim N(\mu_i,1)$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$. Assuming some structure on the $\mu$ process, e.g., a state space model, one may use a summary statistics for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 E. Greenshtein , A. Mansura , Y. Ritov

Multi-modal densities appear frequently in time series and practical applications. However, they cannot be represented by common state estimators, such as the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Sanket Kamthe , Jan Peters , Marc P Deisenroth

This paper investigates an approximation scheme of the optimal nonlinear Bayesian filter based on the Gaussian mixture representation of the state probability distribution function. The resulting filter is similar to the particle filter,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Ibrahim Hoteit , Xiaodong Luo , Dinh-Tuan Pham

Many filters have been proposed in recent decades for the nonlinear state estimation problem. The linearization-based extended Kalman filter (EKF) is widely applied to nonlinear industrial systems. As EKF is limited in accuracy and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Chengling Fang , Jiang Liu , Songqing Ye , Ju Zhang

Many robotic sensor estimation problems can characterized in terms of nonlinear measurement systems. These systems are contaminated with noise and may be underdetermined from a single observation. In order to get reliable estimation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Greg Hager , Max Mintz

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Kalman Filters (KF) are fundamental to real-time state estimation applications, including radar-based tracking systems used in modern driver assistance and safety technologies. In a linear dynamical system with Gaussian noise distributions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Arian Mehrfard , Bharanidhar Duraisamy , Stefan Haag , Florian Geiss

The Gaussian Filter (GF) is one of the most widely used filtering algorithms; instances are the Extended Kalman Filter, the Unscented Kalman Filter and the Divided Difference Filter. GFs represent the belief of the current state by a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Manuel Wüthrich , Sebastian Trimpe , Daniel Kappler , Stefan Schaal

This paper investigates the state estimation problem for unknown linear systems subject to both process and measurement noise. Based on a prior input-output trajectory sampled at a higher frequency and a prior state trajectory sampled at a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-23 Peihu Duan , Tao Liu , Yu Xing , Karl Henrik Johansson

Satellite dynamics and tracking remain important challenges in the context of space exploration and communication systems. Accurate state estimation is essential to maintain reliable orbital motion and system performance. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Moh Kamalul Wafi

The inverse problem of determining parameters in a model by comparing some output of the model with observations is addressed. This is a description for what hat to be done to use the Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter for the Bayesian estimation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Hermann G. Matthies , Alexander Litvinenko , Bojana V. Rosic , Elmar Zander