Related papers: Exact upper and lower bounds on the misclassificat…
This paper derives new bounds on the difference of the entropies of two discrete random variables in terms of the local and total variation distances between their probability mass functions. The derivation of the bounds relies on maximal…
Error probabilities of random codes for memoryless channels are considered in this paper. In the area of communication systems, admissible error probability is very small and it is sometimes more important to discuss the relative gap…
This paper presents an approach for developing the explanation capabilities of rule-based expert systems managing imprecise and uncertain knowledge. The treatment of uncertainty takes place in the framework of possibility theory where the…
We consider upper bounds on the error probability in channel coding. We derive an improved maximum-likelihood union bound, which takes into account events where the likelihood of the correct codeword is tied with that of some competitors.…
We derive a tight lower bound on equivocation (conditional entropy), or equivalently a tight upper bound on mutual information between a signal variable and channel outputs. The bound is in terms of the joint distribution of the signals and…
We show how to determine the maximum and minimum possible values of one measure of entropy for a given value of another measure of entropy. These maximum and minimum values are obtained for two standard forms of probability distribution (or…
Let $X$ denote a nonnegative random variable with $\mathsf{E} X<\infty$. Upper and lower bounds on $\mathsf{E} X-\exp\mathsf{E}\ln X$ are obtained, which are exact, in terms of $V_X$ and $E_X$ for the upper bound and in terms of $V_X$ and…
We study the problem of mismatched likelihood ratio test. We analyze the type-\RNum{1} and \RNum{2} error exponents when the actual distributions generating the observation are different from the distributions used in the test. We derive…
Minimizing expected loss measured by a proper scoring rule, such as Brier score or log-loss (cross-entropy), is a common objective while training a probabilistic classifier. If the data have experienced dataset shift where the class…
Point processes are finding growing applications in numerous fields, such as neuroscience, high frequency finance and social media. So classic problems of classification and clustering are of increasing interest. However, analytic study of…
We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…
We prove new probabilistic upper bounds on generalization error of complex classifiers that are combinations of simple classifiers. Such combinations could be implemented by neural networks or by voting methods of combining the classifiers,…
We introduce a definition of perfect and quasi-perfect codes for symmetric channels parametrized by an auxiliary output distribution. This notion generalizes previous definitions of perfect and quasi-perfect codes and encompasses maximum…
Probabilistic classifiers are central for making informed decisions under uncertainty. Based on the maximum expected utility principle, optimal decision rules can be derived using the posterior class probabilities and misclassification…
We propose upper and lower bounds on the maximum success probability for discriminating given quantum states. The proposed upper bound is obtained from a suboptimal solution to the dual problem of the corresponding optimal state…
This paper studies the complexity of estimating Renyi divergences of discrete distributions: $p$ observed from samples and the baseline distribution $q$ known \emph{a priori}. Extending the results of Acharya et al. (SODA'15) on estimating…
This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…
In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two…
We consider the problem of estimating the population probability distribution given a finite set of multivariate samples, using the maximum entropy approach. In strict keeping with Jaynes' original definition, our precise formulation of the…
Given a factor code $\pi$ from a one-dimensional shift of finite type $X$ onto an irreducible sofic shift $Y$, if $\pi$ is finite-to-one there is an invariant called the degree of $\pi$ which is defined the number of preimages of a typical…