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Stochastic infectious disease models capture uncertainty in public health outcomes and have become increasingly popular in epidemiological practice. However, calibrating these models to observed data is challenging with existing methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Prayag Chatha , Fan Bu , Jeffrey Regier , Evan Snitkin , Jon Zelner

Error assessment for Approximate Query Processing (AQP) is a challenging problem. Bootstrap sampling can produce error assessment even when the population data distribution is unknown. However, bootstrap sampling needs to produce a large…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-26 Feng Yu , Raya Jahan

Agent-based models have proven to be useful tools in supporting decision-making processes in different application domains. The advent of modern computers and supercomputers has enabled these bottom-up approaches to realistically model…

Multi-output Gaussian process regression has become an important tool in uncertainty quantification, for building emulators of computationally expensive simulators, and other areas such as multi-task machine learning. We present a holistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Daria Semochkina , Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

Epidemiological models can not only be used to forecast the course of a pandemic like COVID-19, but also to propose and design non-pharmaceutical interventions such as school and work closing. In general, the design of optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Jan-Hendrik Niemann , Samuel Uram , Sarah Wolf , Nataša Djurdjevac Conrad , Martin Weiser

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Stochastic agent-based models can account for millions of cells with spatiotemporal movement that can be a function of different factors. However, these simulations can be computationally expensive. In this work, we develop a novel…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Michael A. Yereniuk , Sarah D. Olson

We describe an approximate statistical model for the sample variance distribution of the non-linear matter power spectrum that can be calibrated from limited numbers of simulations. Our model retains the common assumption of a multivariate…

Agent-based models of disease transmission involve stochastic rules that specify how a number of individuals would infect one another, recover or be removed from the population. Common yet stringent assumptions stipulate interchangeability…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-29 Nianqiao Ju , Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob

In quantum many-body systems, measurements can induce qualitative new features, but their simulation is hindered by the exponential complexity involved in sampling the measurement results. We propose to use machine learning to assist the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Yuchen Zhu , Molei Tao , Yuebo Jin , Xie Chen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

Gaussian process (GP) emulators have become essential tools for approximating complex simulators, significantly reducing computational demands in optimization, sensitivity analysis, and model calibration. While traditional GP emulators…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-26 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson

Quantum generative modeling has emerged as a promising application of quantum computers, aiming to model complex probability distributions beyond the reach of classical methods. In practice, however, training such models often requires…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Zoltán Kolarovszki , Bence Bakó , Michał Oszmaniec , Changhun Oh , Zoltán Zimborás

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are commonly used tools for controlling infectious disease transmission when pharmaceutical options are unavailable. Yet, identifying effective interventions that minimize societal disruption remains…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Anja Wolpers , Johannes Ponge , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

The state-of-the-art linked Gaussian process offers a way to build analytical emulators for systems of computer models. We generalize the closed form expressions for the linked Gaussian process under the squared exponential kernel to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Deyu Ming , Serge Guillas

Two fundamental research tasks in science and engineering are forward predictions and data inversion. This article introduces a recent R package RobustCalibration for Bayesian data inversion and model calibration by experiments and field…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-20 Mengyang Gu

Load balancing across a networked environment is a monotonous job. Moreover, if the job to be distributed is a constraint satisfying one, the distribution of load demands core intelligence. This paper proposes parallel processing through…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-31 M. Shahriar Hossain , M. Muztaba Fuad , Md. Mahbubul Alam Joarder

Epidemic response planning is essential yet traditionally reliant on labor-intensive manual methods. This study aimed to design and evaluate EpiPlanAgent, an agent-based system using large language models (LLMs) to automate the generation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Kangkun Mao , Fang Xu , Jinru Ding , Yidong Jiang , Yujun Yao , Yirong Chen , Junming Liu , Xiaoqin Wu , Qian Wu , Xiaoyan Huang , Jie Xu

Estimating state of health is a critical function of a battery management system but remains challenging due to the variability of operating conditions and usage requirements of real applications. As a result, techniques based on fitting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-17 Antti Aitio , Dominik Jöst , Dirk Uwe Sauer , David A. Howey