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The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

We study two-state (dichotomous, telegraph) random ergodic continuous-time processes with dynamics depending on their past. We take into account the history of process in an explicit form by introducing an integral non-local memory term…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-20 S. S. Apostolov , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii , S. S. Melnyk , P. Grigolini , A. Krokhin

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

We test recent claims that causal (driver/response) relationships can be deduced from interdependencies between simultaneously measured time series. We apply two recently proposed interdependence measures which should give similar results…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Quian Quiroga , J. Arnhold , P. Grassberger

We give a hybrid two stage design which can be useful to estimate the reliability of a parallel-series and/or by duality a series-parallel system, when the component reliabilities are unknown as well as the total numbers of units allowed to…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-27 Zohra Benkamra , Mekki Terbeche , Mounir Tlemcani

Mental events are considered to supervene on physical events. A supervenient event does not change without a corresponding change in the underlying subvenient physical events. Since wholes and their parts exhibit the same…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-31 Yoshiyuki Ohmura , Yasuo Kuniyoshi

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long- and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-17 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper examines methods of causal inference based on groupwise matching when we observe multiple large groups of individuals over several periods. We formulate causal inference validity through a generalized matching condition,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Ratzanyel Rincón , Kyungchul Song

We study stochastic ordering of system lifetimes with dependent and heterogeneous components whose marginal distributions are obtained through transformations of a common baseline. The dependence structure is modeled via Archimedean…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Idir Arab , Milto Hadjikyriakou , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

In standard process algebra, parallel components do not share a common state and communicate through synchronisation. The advantage of this type of communication is that it facilitates compositional reasoning. For modelling and analysing…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Mark Bouwman , Bas Luttik , Wouter Schols , Tim A. C. Willemse

Symbolic approaches to the control design over complex systems employ the construction of finite-state models that are related to the original control systems, then use techniques from finite-state synthesis to compute controllers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-02-18 Majid Zamani , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Rupak Majumdar , Alessandro Abate , John Lygeros

Masked Diffusion Language Models (MDLMs) promise parallel token generation and arbitrary-order decoding, yet it remains unclear to what extent current models truly realize these capabilities. We characterize MDLM behavior along two…

Task replication has recently been advocated as a practical solution to reduce latencies in parallel systems. In addition to several convincing empirical studies, some others provide analytical results, yet under some strong assumptions…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-02-26 Felix Poloczek , Florin Ciucu

Many forms of dependence manifest themselves over time, with behavior of variables in dynamical systems as a paradigmatic example. This paper studies temporal dependence in dynamical systems from a logical perspective, by enriching a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Alexandru Baltag , Johan van Benthem , Dazhu Li

Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc framework for uncertainty quantification that provides distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, these guarantees crucially rely on the assumption of exchangeability. This assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 M. Stocker , W. Małgorzewicz , M. Fontana , S. Ben Taieb

Autonomous machine learning systems that learn many tasks in sequence are prone to the catastrophic forgetting problem. Mathematical theory is needed in order to understand the extent of forgetting during continual learning. As a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Daniel Goldfarb , Paul Hand

In this paper, a family of neural network-based survival models is presented. The models are specified based on piecewise definitions of the hazard function and the density function on a partitioning of the time; both constant and linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-28 Olov Holmer , Erik Frisk , Mattias Krysander

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

Parallel replica dynamics is a method for accelerating the computation of processes characterized by a sequence of infrequent events. In this work, the processes are governed by the overdamped Langevin equation. Such processes spend much of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Gideon Simpson , Mitchell Luskin