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The Yule-Simon model has been used as a tool to describe the growth of diverse systems, acquiring a paradigmatic character in many fields of research. Here we study a modified Yule-Simon model that takes into account the full history of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Cattuto , V. Loreto , V. D. P. Servedio

In the Yule-Simon process, selection of words follows the preferential attachment mechanism, resulting in the power-law growth in the cumulative number of individual word occurrences. This is derived using mean-field approximation, assuming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Yasuhiro Hashimoto

We empirically study the activity patterns of individual blog-posting and find significant memory effects. The memory coefficient first decays in a power law and then turns to an exponential form. Moreover, the inter-event time distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-03 Peng Wang , Tao Zhou , Xiao-Pu Han , Bing-Hong Wang

From genomes and ecosystems to bureaucracies and cities, the growth of complex systems occurs by adding new types of functions and expanding existing ones. We present a simple generative model that generalizes the Yule-Simon process by…

A family of models of individual discrete choice are constructed by means of statistical averaging of choices made by a subject in a reinforcement learning process, where the subject has short, k-term memory span. The choice probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-20 Misha Perepelitsa

Preferential attachment is a popular generative mechanism to explain the widespread observation of power law distributed networks. We introduce an alternative explanation for the phenomenon by allowing the link growth rates to vary across…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-18 Birgitte Freiesleben de Blasio , Odd O Aalen

The mechanism of the online user preference evolution is of great significance for understanding the online user behaviors and improving the quality of online services. Since users are allowed to rate on objects in many online systems,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-09-17 Lei Hou , Xue Pan , Qiang Guo , Jian-Guo Liu

We extend the classical one-parameter Yule-Simon law to a version depending on two parameters, which in part appeared in Bertoin [2019] in the context of a preferential attachment algorithm with fading memory. By making the link to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Erich Baur , Jean Bertoin

In this paper, we propose a new framework for the design of incentives aimed at promoting innovation diffusion in social influence networks. In particular, our framework relies on an extension of the Friedkin and Johnsen opinion dynamics…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-25 Lisa Piccinin , Valentina Breschi , Chiara Ravazzi , Fabrizio Dabbene , Mara Tanelli

Consider first a memoryless population model described by the usual branching process with a given mean reproduction matrix on a finite space of types. Motivated by the consequences of atavism in Evolutionary Biology, we are interested in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Jean Bertoin

In social tagging systems, the diversity of tag vocabulary and the popularity of such tags continue to increase as they are exposed to selection pressure derived from our cognitive nature and cultural preferences. This is analogous to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-09 Yasuhiro Hashimoto , Mizuki Oka , Takashi Ikegami

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

With the aim of considering models with persistent memory we propose a fractional nonlinear modification of the classical Yule model often studied in the context of macrovolution. Here the model is analyzed and interpreted in the framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Petr Lansky , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

We study a discrete-time stochastic process that can also be interpreted as a model for a viral evolution. A distinguishing feature of our process is power-law tails due to dynamics that resembles preferential attachment models. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Iddo Ben-Ari , Carter Bedsole , Grace O'Neil

Continuous-time branching processes describe the evolution of a population whose individuals generate a random number of children according to a birth process. Such branching processes can be used to understand preferential attachment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Alessandro Garavaglia , Remco van der Hofstad , Gerhard Woeginger

Many human-related activities show power-law decaying interevent time distribution with exponents usually varying between 1 and 2. We study a simple task-queuing model, which produces bursty time series due to the nontrivial dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-22 Szabolcs Vajna , Bálint Tóth , János Kertész

The origin of the long-range memory in the non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases a notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We present a generalization of the Yule model for macroevolution in which, for the appearance of genera, we consider point processes with the order statistics property, while for the growth of species we use nonlinear time-fractional pure…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Federico Polito

Recent methods have been developed to map single-cell lineage statistics to population growth. Because population growth selects for exponentially rare phenotypes, these methods inherently depend on sampling large deviations from finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-16 Trevor GrandPre , Ethan Levien , Ariel Amir

An autoregressive model with a power-law type memory kernel is studied as a stochastic process that exhibits a self-affine-fractal-like behavior for a small time scale. We find numerically that the root-mean-square displacement for the time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Haruo Honjo
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