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In many applications it is of interest to identify anomalous behavior within a dynamic interacting system. Such anomalous interactions are reflected by structural changes in the network representation of the system. We propose and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-01 James D. Wilson , Nathaniel T. Stevens , William H. Woodall

We analyze the bootstrap percolation process on the stochastic block model (SBM), a natural extension of the Erd\H{o}s--R\'{e}nyi random graph that incorporates the community structure observed in many real systems. In the SBM, nodes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Giovanni Luca Torrisi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

Consider observing a collection of discrete events within a network that reflect how network nodes influence one another. Such data are common in spike trains recorded from biological neural networks, interactions within a social network,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

With the rapid growth of online social network sites (SNS), it has become imperative for platform owners and online marketers to investigate what drives content production on these platforms. However, previous research has found it…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Prasanta Bhattacharya , Tuan Q. Phan , Xue Bai , Edoardo Airoldi

Dynamic relational processes, such as e-mail exchanges, bank loans and scientific citations, are important examples of dynamic networks, in which the relational events consistute time-stamped edges. There are contexts where the network…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-24 Igor Artico , Ernst C. Wit

We develop a model in which interactions between nodes of a dynamic network are counted by non homogeneous Poisson processes. In a block modelling perspective, nodes belong to hidden clusters (whose number is unknown) and the intensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Marco Corneli , Pierre Latouche , Fabrice Rossi

Temporal networks observed continuously over time through timestamped relational events data are commonly encountered in application settings including online social media communications, financial transactions, and international relations.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Lingfei Zhao , Hadeel Soliman , Kevin S. Xu , Subhadeep Paul

An event sequence generated by a temporal point process is often associated with a hidden and structured event branching process that captures the triggering relations between its historical and current events. In this study, we design a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Qingmei Wang , Yuxin Wu , Yujie Long , Jing Huang , Fengyuan Ran , Bing Su , Hongteng Xu

Understanding the diffusion in social network is an important task. However, this task is challenging since (1) the network structure is usually hidden with only observations of events like "post" or "repost" associated with each node, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-21 Peiyuan Suny , Jianxin Li , Yongyi Mao , Richong Zhang , Lihong Wang

Directional and pairwise measurements are often used to model inter-relationships in a social network setting. The Mixed-Membership Stochastic Blockmodel (MMSB) was a seminal work in this area, and many of its capabilities were extended…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-06-14 Xuhui Fan , Longbing Cao , Richard Yi Da Xu

There exist various types of network block models such as the Stochastic Block Model (SBM), the Degree Corrected Block Model (DCBM), and the Popularity Adjusted Block Model (PABM). While this leads to a variety of choices, the block models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Majid Noroozi , Marianna Pensky

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

Dynamic networks, especially those representing social networks, undergo constant evolution of their community structure over time. Nodes can migrate between different communities, communities can split into multiple new communities,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Timothy La Fond , Geoffrey Sanders , Christine Klymko , Van Emden Henson

This paper introduces graph-based mutually exciting processes (GB-MEP) to model event times in network point processes, focusing on an application to docked bike-sharing systems. GB-MEP incorporates known relationships between nodes in a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-11 Francesco Sanna Passino , Yining Che , Carlos Cardoso Correia Perello

Modeling event patterns is a central task in a wide range of disciplines. In applications such as studying human activity patterns, events often arrive clustered with sporadic and long periods of inactivity. Such heterogeneity in event…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-03 Jingfei Zhang , Biao Cai , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang , Ganggang Xu , Yongtao Guan

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

A temporal point process is a stochastic process that predicts which type of events is likely to happen and when the event will occur given a history of a sequence of events. There are various examples of occurrence dynamics in the daily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Deokjun Eom , Sehyun Lee , Jaesik Choi

A Marked Temporal Point Process (MTPP) is a stochastic process whose realization is a set of event-time data. MTPP is often used to understand complex dynamics of asynchronous temporal events such as money transaction, social media,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Yujee Song , Donghyun Lee , Rui Meng , Won Hwa Kim

Dynamic evolving networks capture temporal relations in domains such as social networks, communication networks, and financial transaction networks. In such networks, temporal motifs, which are repeated sequences of time-stamped…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Alexandra Porter , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Jure Leskovec