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This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn Alenlöv

We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

In recent years, methods of approximate parameter estimation have attracted considerable interest in complex problems where exact likelihoods are hard to obtain. In their most basic form, Bayesian methods such as Approximate Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-17 Johanna Bertl , Gregory Ewing , Carolin Kosiol , Andreas Futschik

State-space models are a popular statistical framework for analysing sequential data. Within this framework, particle filters are often used to perform inference on non-linear state-space models. We introduce a new method, StateMixNN, that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Benjamin Cox , Santiago Segarra , Victor Elvira

A linear Gaussian state-space smoothing algorithm is presented for estimation of derivatives from a sequence of noisy measurements. The algorithm uses numerically stable square-root formulas, can handle simultaneous independent measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-17 Robert Piche

Twisted particle filters are a class of sequential Monte Carlo methods recently introduced by Whiteley and Lee to improve the efficiency of marginal likelihood estimation in state-space models. The purpose of this article is to extend the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-30 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Nick Whiteley , Kari Heine , Robert Piche

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

The aim of this paper is twofold: In the first part, we leverage recent results on scenario design to develop randomized algorithmsfor approximating the image set of a nonlinear mapping, that is, a (possibly noisy) mapping of a set via a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-30 Fabrizio Dabbene , Didier Henrion , Constantino Lagoa , Pavel Shcherbakov

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian. We estimate the gradient and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-11 Manon Kok , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön , Adrian Wills

Particle smoothers are widely used algorithms allowing to approximate the smoothing distribution in hidden Markov models. Existing algorithms often suffer from slow computational time or degeneracy. We propose in this paper a way to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-28 Cyrille Dubarry , Randal Douc

The robust estimation of dynamically changing features, such as the position of prey, is one of the hallmarks of perception. On an abstract, algorithmic level, nonlinear Bayesian filtering, i.e. the estimation of temporally changing signals…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-05 Anna Kutschireiter , Simone Carlo Surace , Henning Sprekeler , Jean-Pascal Pfister

The discovery of particle filtering methods has enabled the use of nonlinear filtering in a wide array of applications. Unfortunately, the approximation error of particle filters typically grows exponentially in the dimension of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

Our article deals with Bayesian inference for a general state space model with the simulated likelihood computed by the particle filter. We show empirically that the partially or fully adapted particle filters can be much more efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-11 Michael Pitt , Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn

Learning-based methods commonly treat state estimation in robotics as a sequence modeling problem. While this paradigm can be effective at maximizing end-to-end performance, models are often difficult to interpret and expensive to train,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Lennart Röstel , Berthold Bäuml

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

We introduce a probabilistic approach to the LMS filter. By means of an efficient approximation, this approach provides an adaptable step-size LMS algorithm together with a measure of uncertainty about the estimation. In addition, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-11 Jesus Fernandez-Bes , Víctor Elvira , Steven Van Vaerenbergh