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Researchers are more likely to share notable findings. As a result, published findings tend to overstate the magnitude of real-world phenomena. This bias is a natural concern for asset pricing research, which has found hundreds of return…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-22 Andrew Y. Chen , Tom Zimmermann

A leading explanation for widespread replication failures is publication bias. I show in a simple model of selective publication that, contrary to common perceptions, the replication rate is unaffected by the suppression of insignificant…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-04 Patrick Vu

Publication bias occurs when the publication of research results depends not only on the quality of the research but also on its nature and direction. The consequence is that published studies may not be truly representative of all valid…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-13 Chuan Hong , Jing Zhang , Yang Li , Elena Elia , Richard Riley , Yong Chen

Publication bias is a major concern in conducting systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Various sensitivity analysis or bias-correction methods have been developed based on selection models and they have some advantages over the widely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Ao Huang , Kosuke Morikawa , Tim Friede , Satoshi Hattori

The publication process both determines which research receives the most attention, and influences the supply of research through its impact on researchers' private incentives. We introduce a framework to study optimal publication decisions…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-25 Ravi Jagadeesan , Davide Viviano

Link prediction methods are frequently applied in recommender systems, e.g., to suggest citations for academic papers or friends in social networks. However, exposure bias can arise when users are systematically underexposed to certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Shantanu Gupta , Hao Wang , Zachary C. Lipton , Yuyang Wang

Several systematic studies have suggested that a large fraction of published research is not reproducible. One probable reason for low reproducibility is insufficient sample size, resulting in low power and low positive predictive value. It…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-01 Oliver Braganza

Publication bias and p-hacking are two well-known phenomena that strongly affect the scientific literature and cause severe problems in meta-analyses. Due to these phenomena, the assumptions of meta-analyses are seriously violated and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Jonas Moss , Riccardo De Bin

The validity of conclusions from meta-analysis is potentially threatened by publication bias. Most existing procedures for correcting publication bias assume normality of the study-specific effects that account for between-study…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-10 Ray Bai , Lifeng Lin , Mary R. Boland , Yong Chen

In research policy, effective measures that lead to improvements in the generation of knowledge must be based on reliable methods of research assessment, but for many countries and institutions this is not the case. Publication and citation…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-07-20 Alonso Rodriguez-Navarro , Ricardo Brito

Large-scale replication studies like the Reproducibility Project: Psychology (RP:P) provide invaluable systematic data on scientific replicability, but most analyses and interpretations of the data fail to agree on the definition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Kenneth Hung , William Fithian

Systematic reviews aim to summarize all the available evidence relevant to a particular research question. If appropriate, the data from identified studies are quantitatively combined in a meta-analysis. Often only few studies regarding a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 M. Henmi , S. Hattori , T. Friede

Established frameworks to understand problems with reproducibility in science begin with the relationship between our understanding of the prior probability of a claim and the statistical certainty that should be demanded of it, and explore…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-05-30 Maria Chikina , Wesley Pegden

We develop a statistical framework for empirical Bayes learning from selectively reported confidence intervals, and apply it to provide context for interpreting results published in MEDLINE abstracts. We use a collection of 326,060 z-scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Hunter Chen , Junming Guan , Erik van Zwet , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Meta-analysis is a powerful tool to synthesize findings from multiple studies. The normal-normal random-effects model is widely used to account for between-study heterogeneity. However, meta-analysis of sparse data, which may arise when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Taojun Hu , Yi Zhou , Satoshi Hattori

In meta-analyses, publication bias is a well-known, important and challenging issue because the validity of the results from a meta-analysis is threatened if the sample of studies retrieved for review is biased. One popular method to deal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-03 Rui Duan , Jin Piao , Arielle Marks-Anglin , Jiayi Tong , Lifeng Lin , Haitao Chu , Jing Ning , Yong Chen

An academic scientist's professional success depends on publishing. Publishing norms emphasize novel, positive results. As such, disciplinary incentives encourage design, analysis, and reporting decisions that elicit positive results and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-29 Brian A. Nosek , Jeffrey R. Spies , Matt Motyl

Publication selection bias undermines the systematic accumulation of evidence. To assess the extent of this problem, we survey over 68,000 meta-analyses containing over 700,000 effect size estimates from medicine (67,386/597,699),…

Meta analysis is commonly-used to synthesize multiple results from individual studies. However, its validation is usually threatened by publication bias and between-study heterogeneity, which can be captured by the Copas selection model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mengke Li , Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li , Jing Qin

The Open Science Collaboration recently reported that 36% of published findings from psychological studies were reproducible by independent researchers. We can use this information together with Bayes theorem to estimate the statistical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-13 Michael Ingre
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