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The assumption of normality in data has been considered in the field of statistical analysis for a long time. However, in many practical situations, this assumption is clearly unrealistic. It has recently been suggested that the use of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-25 Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Javier E. Contreras-Reyes

We develop a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that exploits a hierarchy of models of increasing complexity to efficiently generate samples from an unnormalized target distribution. Broadly, the method rewrites the Multilevel…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , Colin Fox , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl

This paper introduces two families of probability distributions for Bayesian analysis of hypertoroidal data. The first family consists of symmetric distributions derived from the projection of multivariate normal distributions under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Shogo Kato , Gianluca Mastrantonio , Masayuki Ishikawa

We introduce a novel family of projected distributions on the circle and the sphere, namely the circular and spherical projected Cauchy distributions, as promising alternatives for modelling circular and spherical data. The circular…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Michail Tsagris , Omar Alzeley

When performing Bayesian data analysis using a general linear mixed model, the resulting posterior density is almost always analytically intractable. However, if proper conditionally conjugate priors are used, there is a simple two-block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Tavis Abrahamsen , James P. Hobert

Sine-skewed circular distributions are identifiable and have easily-computable trigonometric moments and a simple random number generation algorithm, whereas they are known to have relatively low levels of asymmetry. This study proposes a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Yoichi Miyata , Takayuki Shiohama , Toshihiro Abe

We introduce a new approach to a linear-circular regression problem that relates multiple linear predictors to a circular response. We follow a modeling approach of a wrapped normal distribution that describes angular variables and angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ali Esmaieeli Sikaroudi , Chiwoo Park

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a popular approach to capturing unobserved heterogeneity across individual units. However, standard estimation methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be impracticable for modeling outcomes from…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

A non trivial problem that arises in several applications is the estimation of the mean of a truncated normal distribution. In this paper, an iterative deterministic scheme for approximating this mean is proposed. It has been inspired from…

For the binary regression, the use of symmetrical link functions are not appropriate when we have evidence that the probability of success increases at a different rate than decreases. In these cases, the use of link functions based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 João Victor B. de Freitas , Caio L. N. Azevedo

We introduce a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain for Boltzmann distributions of classical spin systems. It relies on approximate tensor network contractions to propose correlated collective updates at each step of the evolution. We present…

Finite mixture of skew distributions have emerged as an effective tool in modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric features. With various proposals appearing rapidly in the recent years, which are similar but not identical, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-29 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-23 Ajay Jasra , Amin Wu

In many signal processing problems, it may be fruitful to represent the signal under study in a frame. If a probabilistic approach is adopted, it becomes then necessary to estimate the hyper-parameters characterizing the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-14 L. Chaâri , J. -C. Pesquet , J. -Y. Tourneret , Ph. Ciuciu , A. Benazza-Benyahia

In many hierarchical inverse problems, not only do we want to estimate high- or infinite-dimensional model parameters in the parameter-to-observable maps, but we also have to estimate hyperparameters that represent critical assumptions in…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Johnathan Bardsley , Tiangang Cui

For the family of multivariate probability distributions variously denoted as unified skew-normal, closed skew-normal and other names, a number of properties are already known, but many others are not, even some basic ones. The present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Adelchi Azzalini

In this note, we investigate the non-identifiability of the multivariate unified skew-normal distribution under permutation of its latent variables. We show that the non-identifiability issue also holds with other parametrizations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Kesen Wang , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Adelchi Azzalini , Marc G. Genton

We propose new Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms to sample probability distributions on submanifolds, which generalize previous methods by allowing the use of set-valued maps in the proposal step of the MCMC algorithms. The motivation for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz , Wei Zhang

Specifying a full Bayesian model that integrates multiple data sources can be challenging. One natural approach is to specify each individual model separately and join them afterwards. This is the approach adopted in Markov melding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Yixuan Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie