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There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Comparing alternatives in pairs is a very well known technique of ranking creation. The answer to how reliable and trustworthy ranking is depends on the inconsistency of the data from which it was created. There are many indices used for…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Konrad Kułakowski , Dawid Talaga

We consider a symmetric matrix, the entries of which depend linearly on some parameters. The domains of the parameters are compact real intervals. We investigate the problem of checking whether for each (or some) setting of the parameters,…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Milan Hladík

In this paper we present the set of intervals as a normed vector space. We define also a four-dimensional associative algebra whose product gives the product of intervals in any cases. This approach allows to give a notion of divisibility…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2009-10-22 Nicolas Goze , Elisabeth Remm

Statistical inference using pairwise comparison data is an effective approach to analyzing large-scale sparse networks. In this paper, we propose a general framework to model the mutual interactions in a network, which enjoys ample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-11 Ruijian Han , Yiming Xu , Kani Chen

This paper introduces Bayesian frameworks for tackling various aspects of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems, leveraging a probabilistic interpretation of MCDM methods and challenges. By harnessing the flexibility of Bayesian…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Majid Mohammadi

Pairwise comparison matrices have received substantial attention in a variety of applications, especially in rank aggregation, the task of flattening items into a one-dimensional (and thus transitive) ranking. However, non-transitive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Shuang Li , Michael B. Wakin

This paper introduces a novel decision-making framework that promotes consistency among decisions made by diverse models while utilizing external knowledge. Leveraging the Integer Linear Programming (ILP) framework, we map predictions from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Hossein Rajaby Faghihi , Parisa Kordjamshidi

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

We propose a new perspective for the evaluation of matching procedures by considering the complexity of the function class they belong to. Under this perspective we provide theoretical guarantees on post-matching covariate balance through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Efrén Cruz Cortés , Kevin Josey , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

Incomplete pairwise comparison matrices contain some missing judgements. A natural approach to estimate these values is provided by minimising a reasonable measure of inconsistency after unknown entries are replaced by variables. Two widely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-07 László Csató , Kolos Csaba Ágoston , Sándor Bozóki

A recent work of the authors on the analysis of pairwise comparison matrices that can be made consistent by the modification of a few elements is continued and extended. Inconsistency indices are defined for indicating the overall quality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-05 Sándor Bozóki , János Fülöp , Attila Poesz

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

This paper is devoted to a new approach of the arithmetic of intervals. We present the set of intervals as a normed vector space. We define also a four-dimensional associative algebra whose product gives the product of intervals in any…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-10-22 Nicolas Goze , Elisabeth Remm

Bayesian inference requires specification of a single, precise prior distribution, whereas frequentist inference only accommodates a vacuous prior. Since virtually every real-world application falls somewhere in between these two extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ryan Martin

We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

This article is meant to give a lucid and widely accessible, self-contained account of a novel way of performing arithmetic operations on fuzzy intervals. Based on two formulae of generalized inversion (the first in close analogy to the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2016-10-28 Jan Schneider

We propose a penalized likelihood framework for estimating multiple precision matrices from different classes. Most existing methods either incorporate no information on relationships between the precision matrices, or require this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Bradley S. Price , Aaron J. Molstad , Ben Sherwood

Irregular temporal data, characterized by varying recording frequencies, differing observation durations, and missing values, presents significant challenges across fields like mobility, healthcare, and environmental science. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Francesco Spinnato , Cristiano Landi