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Identifying the extent to which every temporal segment influences a model's predictions is essential for explaining model decisions and increasing transparency. While post-hoc explainable methods based on gradients and feature-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Akash Pandey , Payal Mohapatra , Wei Chen , Qi Zhu , Sinan Keten

At the light of regularized dynamic time warping kernels, this paper reconsider the concept of time elastic centroid (TEC) for a set of time series. From this perspective, we show first how TEC can easily be addressed as a preimage problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Pierre-François Marteau

In recent years, modeling and analysis of interval-valued time series have garnered increasing attention in econometrics, finance, and statistics. However, these studies have predominantly focused on statistical inference in the forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Wan Tian , Zhongfeng Qin

We address the problem of modeling and prediction of a set of temporal events in the context of intelligent transportation systems. To leverage the information shared by different events, we propose a multi-task learning framework. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Boris Chidlovskii

This paper investigates locally linear regression for locally stationary time series and develops theoretical results for locally linear smoothing and transfer learning. Existing analyses have focused on local constant estimators and given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Jinwoo Park

Time series prediction typically consists of a data reconstruction phase where the time series is broken into overlapping windows known as the timespan. The size of the timespan can be seen as a way of determining the extent of past…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Rohitash Chandra , Yew-Soon Ong , Chi-Keong Goh

We present a new model for time series classification, called the hidden-unit logistic model, that uses binary stochastic hidden units to model latent structure in the data. The hidden units are connected in a chain structure that models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-20 Wenjie Pei , Hamdi Dibeklioğlu , David M. J. Tax , Laurens van der Maaten

Warped time-frequency systems have recently been introduced as a class of structured continuous frames for functions on the real line. Herein, we generalize this framework to the setting of functions of arbitrary dimensionality. After…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Nicki Holighaus , Felix Voigtlaender

Many time series classification tasks, where labels vary over time, are affected by label noise that also varies over time. Such noise can cause label quality to improve, worsen, or periodically change over time. We first propose and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Sujay Nagaraj , Walter Gerych , Sana Tonekaboni , Anna Goldenberg , Berk Ustun , Thomas Hartvigsen

Pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) encapsulate large amounts of knowledge and take enormous amounts of compute to train. We make use of this resource, together with the observation that LLMs are able to transfer knowledge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Malcolm L. Wolff , Shenghao Yang , Kari Torkkola , Michael W. Mahoney

Shapelets are discriminative subsequences (or shapes) with high interpretability in time series classification. Due to the time-intensive nature of shapelet discovery, existing shapelet-based methods mainly focus on selecting discriminative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Zhen Liu , Yicheng Luo , Boyuan Li , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Qianli Ma

This paper deals with the time-varying high dimensional covariance matrix estimation. We propose two covariance matrix estimators corresponding with a time-varying approximate factor model and a time-varying approximate characteristic-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-29 Jaeheon Jung

On the long-established classification problems in general relativity we take a novel perspective by adopting fruitful techniques from machine learning and modern data-science. In particular, we model Petrov's classification of spacetimes,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-06-09 Yang-Hui He , Juan Manuel Pérez Ipiña

Carr and Wu (2004), henceforth CW, developed a framework that encompasses almost all of the continuous-time models proposed in the option pricing literature. Their main result hinges on the stopping time property of the time changes, but…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Hasan Fallahgoul , Kihun Nam

Deep learning models developed for time-series associated tasks have become more widely researched nowadays. However, due to the unintuitive nature of time-series data, the interpretability problem -- where we understand what is under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Ziqi Zhao , Yucheng Shi , Shushan Wu , Fan Yang , Wenzhan Song , Ninghao Liu

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

We argue that time series analysis is fundamentally different in nature to either vision or natural language processing with respect to the forms of meaningful self-supervised learning tasks that can be defined. Motivated by this insight,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Navid Mohammadi Foumani , Chang Wei Tan , Geoffrey I. Webb , Hamid Rezatofighi , Mahsa Salehi

Time series classification has received great attention over the past decade with a wide range of methods focusing on predictive performance by exploiting various types of temporal features. Nonetheless, little emphasis has been placed on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Isak Karlsson , Jonathan Rebane , Panagiotis Papapetrou , Aristides Gionis

In various scientific and engineering fields, the primary research areas have revolved around physics-based dynamical systems modeling and data-driven time series analysis. According to the embedding theory, dynamical systems and time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Jiaxi Hu , Bowen Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Fugee Tsung , Yuxuan Liang

We propose a novel framework for learning time-varying graphs from spatiotemporal measurements. Given an appropriate prior on the temporal behavior of signals, our proposed method can estimate time-varying graphs from a small number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Haruki Yokota , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Antonio Ortega