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A general setting for nested subdivisions of a bounded real set into intervals defining the digits $X_1,X_2,...$ of a random variable $X$ with a probability density function $f$ is considered. Under the weak condition that $f$ is almost…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jesper Møller

We study a 2-parametric family of probability measures on an infinite-dimensional simplex (the Thoma simplex). These measures originate in harmonic analysis on the infinite symmetric group (S.Kerov, G.Olshanski and A.Vershik, Comptes Rendus…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-02 Grigori Olshanski

We analyze a method to produce pairs of non independent Poisson processes $M(t),N(t)$ from positively correlated, self-decomposable, exponential renewals. In particular the present paper provides the family of copulas pairing the renewals,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Piergiacomo Sabino

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ and $Y_1,Y_2,\ldots$ be two random sequences so that every random variable takes values in a finite set $\mathbb{A}$. We consider a global similarity score $L_n:=L(X_1,\ldots,X_n;Y_1,\ldots,Y_n)$ that measures the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger , Joonas Sova , Fabio Zucca

The goal of this expository paper is to describe conditions which guarantee a central limit theorem for functionals of general state space Markov chains. This is done with a view towards Markov chain Monte Carlo settings and hence the focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Galin L. Jones

We study the evolution of a particle system whose genealogy is given by a supercritical continuous time Galton--Watson tree. The particles move independently according to a Markov process and when a branching event occurs, the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Vincent Bansaye , Jean-François Delmas , Laurence Marsalle , Viet Chi Tran

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

Model reduction of Markov processes is a basic problem in modeling state-transition systems. Motivated by the state aggregation approach rooted in control theory, we study the statistical state compression of a discrete-state Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Anru Zhang , Mengdi Wang

We present a formalism to describe slowly decaying systems in the context of finite Markov chains obeying detailed balance. We show that phase space can be partitioned into approximately decoupled regions, in which one may introduce…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hernan Larralde , Francois Leyvraz , David P. Sanders

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Motivated by a general principle governing regulation mechanisms in biological cells, we investigate a general interaction scheme between different populations of particles and specific particles, referred to as agents. Assuming that each…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Vincent Fromion , Philippe Robert , Jana Zaherddine

We consider continuous-time Markov chains which display a family of wells at the same depth. We provide sufficient conditions which entail the convergence of the finite-dimensional distributions of the order parameter to the ones of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Claudio Landim , Michail Loulakis , Mustapha Mourragui

The local distributions of the one-dimensional dilute annealed Ising model with charged impurities are studied. Explicit expressions are obtained for the pair distribution functions and correlation lengths, and their low-temperature…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 Yu. D. Panov

The purpose of this paper is to extend the investigation of the Fleming-Viot process in discrete space started in a previous work to two specific examples. The first one corresponds to a random walk on the complete graph. Due to its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Bertrand Cloez , Marie-Noémie Thai

We analyse the stochastic comparison of interacting particle systems allowing for multiple arrivals, departures and non-conservative jumps of individuals between sites. That is, if $k$ individuals leave site $x$ for site $y$, a possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Raúl Gouet , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

We consider a stationary random field indexed by an increasing sequence of subsets of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ obeying a very broad geometrical assumption on how the sequence expands. Under certain mixing and local conditions, we show how the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Anders Rønn-Nielsen , Mads Stehr

Bayesian theories of biological and brain function speculate that Markov blankets (a conditional independence separating a system from external states) play a key role for facilitating inference-like behaviour in living systems. Although it…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Miguel Aguilera , Ángel Poc-López , Conor Heins , Christopher L. Buckley

For non-equilibrium systems described by finite Markov processes, we consider the number of times that a system traverses a cyclic sequence of states (a cycle). The joint distribution of the number of forward and backward instances of any…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-11 Patrick Pietzonka , Jules Guioth , Robert L. Jack

We consider a pair of correlated processes {Z_n} and {S_n} (two sided), where the former is observable and the later is hidden. The uncertainty in the estimation of Z_n upon its finite past history is H(Z_n|Z_0^{n-1}), and for estimation of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Mohammad Rezaeian
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