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With the advancement of neural networks, diverse methods for neural Granger causality have emerged, which demonstrate proficiency in handling complex data, and nonlinear relationships. However, the existing framework of neural Granger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Wanqi Zhou , Shuanghao Bai , Shujian Yu , Qibin Zhao , Badong Chen

Clustering is an unsupervised learning technique that is useful when working with a large volume of unlabeled data. Complex dynamical systems in real life often entail data streaming from a large number of sources. Although it is desirable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Sin Yong Tan , Homagni Saha , Margarite Jacoby , Gregor P. Henze , Soumik Sarkar

Increasing attention has recently been given to the inference of sparse networks. In biology, for example, most molecules only bind to a small number of other molecules, leading to sparse molecular interaction networks. To achieve…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-04 J. Jin , Y. Yuan , A. Webb , J. Goncalves

We consider the Granger causal structure learning problem from time series data. Granger causal algorithms predict a 'Granger causal effect' between two variables by testing if prediction error of one decreases significantly in the absence…

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Molecular profiling data (e.g., gene expression) has been used for clinical risk prediction and biomarker discovery. However, it is necessary to integrate other prior knowledge like biological pathways or gene interaction networks to…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-22 Wenwen Min , Juan Liu , Shihua Zhang

Nowadays an increasing amount of data is available and we have to deal with models in high dimension (number of covariates much larger than the sample size). Under sparsity assumption it is reasonable to hope that we can make a good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-23 Mélanie Blazère , Jean-Michel Loubes , Fabrice Gamboa

Characterising cause-effect relationships in complex systems is fundamental to understanding their underlying mechanisms. Granger causality (GC) remains a widely used computational tool for identifying causal relationships in time series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 S. A. Adedayo

We propose a method of analysis of dynamical networks based on a recent measure of Granger causality between time series, based on kernel methods. The generalization of kernel Granger causality to the multivariate case, here presented,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Sparse group LASSO (SGL) is a penalization technique used in regression problems where the covariates have a natural grouped structure and provides solutions that are both between and within group sparse. In this paper the SGL is introduced…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Álvaro Méndez Civieta , M. Carmen Aguilera-Morillo , Rosa E. Lillo

In this paper, we consider the joint task of simultaneously optimizing (i) the weights of a deep neural network, (ii) the number of neurons for each hidden layer, and (iii) the subset of active input features (i.e., feature selection).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-14 Simone Scardapane , Danilo Comminiello , Amir Hussain , Aurelio Uncini

We propose the Granger causality inference Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANGCI), a novel architecture that extends the recently proposed Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) to the domain of causal inference. By extracting base weights from KAN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Meiliang Liu , Yunfang Xu , Zijin Li , Zhengye Si , Xiaoxiao Yang , Xinyue Yang , Zhiwen Zhao

Causal structure discovery in complex dynamical systems is an important challenge for many scientific domains. Although data from (interventional) experiments is usually limited, large amounts of observational time series data sets are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Bart Bussmann , Jannes Nys , Steven Latré

We investigate how efficiently a known underlying sparse causality structure of a simulated multivariate linear process can be retrieved from the analysis of time-series of short lengths. Causality is quantified from conditional transfer…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-06 Tomaso Aste , T. Di Matteo

Compressed sensing is a scheme that allows for sparse signals to be acquired, transmitted and stored using far fewer measurements than done by conventional means employing Nyquist sampling theorem. Since many naturally occurring signals are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-29 Aditi Kathpalia , Nithin Nagaraj

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

We introduce a rigorous mathematical framework for Granger causality in extremes, designed to identify causal links from extreme events in time series. Granger causality plays a pivotal role in uncovering directional relationships among…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-21 Juraj Bodik , Olivier C. Pasche

This paper develops a method for estimating parameters of a vector autoregression (VAR) observed in white noise. The estimation method assumes the noise variance matrix is known and does not require any iterative process. This study…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-01 Alexandre G. Patriota , Joao R. Sato , Betsabe G. Blas

Graph topology inference of network processes with co-evolving and interacting time-series is crucial for network studies. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are popular approaches for topology inference of directed graphs; however, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 M. Ali Vosoughi , Axel Wismuller

Learning Granger causality for general point processes is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an effective method, learning Granger causality, for a special but significant type of point processes --- Hawkes process. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Hongteng Xu , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Hongyuan Zha