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This paper aims to identify three electrical systems: a series RLC circuit, a motor/generator coupled system, and the Duffing-Ueda oscillator. In order to obtain the system's models was used the error reduction ratio and the Akaike…

Numerical simulations of physical systems exhibit discrepancies arising from unmodeled physics and idealizations, as well as numerical approximation errors stemming from discretization and solver tolerances. This article reviews techniques…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-23 Danny Smyl

Handling missing data is a central challenge in data-driven analysis. Modern imputation methods not only aim for accurate reconstruction but also differ in how they represent and quantify uncertainty. Yet, the reliability and calibration of…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Zarin Tahia Hossain , Mostafa Milani

This paper presents a probabilistic model validation methodology for nonlinear systems in time-domain. The proposed formulation is simple, intuitive, and accounts both deterministic and stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-02-04 Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

Model monitoring is a critical component of the machine learning lifecycle, safeguarding against undetected drops in the model's performance after deployment. Traditionally, performance monitoring has required access to ground truth labels,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Juhani Kivimäki , Jakub Białek , Wojtek Kuberski , Jukka K. Nurminen

Uncertainty is unavoidable in modeling dynamical systems and it may be represented mathematically by differential inclusions. In the past, we proposed an algorithm to compute validated solutions of differential inclusions; here we provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-31 Sanja Zivanovic Gonzalez , Pieter Collins , Luca Geretti , Davide Bresolin , Tiziano Villa

Indentation test is used with growing popularity for the characterization of various materials on different scales. Developed methods are combining the test with computer simulation and inverse analyses to assess material parameters…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-07-14 Vladimir Buljak , Shwetank Pandey

This paper studies the numerical computation of integrals, representing estimates or predictions, over the output $f(x)$ of a computational model with respect to a distribution $p(\mathrm{d}x)$ over uncertain inputs $x$ to the model. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-13 Chris. J. Oates , Steven Niederer , Angela Lee , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Existing procedures for model validation have been deemed inadequate for many engineering systems. The reason of this inadequacy is due to the high degree of complexity of the mechanisms that govern these systems. It is proposed in this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 A. Guergachi

Uncertainty estimation is an essential and heavily-studied component for the reliable application of semantic segmentation methods. While various studies exist claiming methodological advances on the one hand, and successful application on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Kim-Celine Kahl , Carsten T. Lüth , Maximilian Zenk , Klaus Maier-Hein , Paul F. Jaeger

The parametrisation method for invariant manifolds is a powerful technique for deriving reduced-order models in the context of nonlinear vibrating systems, allowing accurate computations of nonlinear normal modes. Thanks to arbitrary order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-19 André de Figueiredo Stabile , Aurélien Grolet , Alessandra Vizzaccaro , Cyril Touzé

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar

Calibrating model parameters to measured data by minimizing loss functions is an important step in obtaining realistic predictions from model-based approaches, e.g., for process optimization. This is applicable to both knowledge-driven and…

Computer simulations have proven a valuable tool for understanding complex phenomena across the sciences. However, the utility of simulators for modelling and forecasting purposes is often restricted by low data quality, as well as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Daniel Ward , Patrick Cannon , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo , Sebastian M Schmon

Accurate camera calibration is a precondition for many computer vision applications. Calibration errors, such as wrong model assumptions or imprecise parameter estimation, can deteriorate a system's overall performance, making the reliable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Annika Hagemann , Moritz Knorr , Holger Janssen , Christoph Stiller

Linear principal component analysis (PCA) can be extended to a nonlinear PCA by using artificial neural networks. But the benefit of curved components requires a careful control of the model complexity. Moreover, standard techniques for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-04-04 Matthias Scholz

We present multimodal neural posterior estimation (MultiNPE), a method to integrate heterogeneous data from different sources in simulation-based inference with neural networks. Inspired by advances in deep fusion, it allows researchers to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Marvin Schmitt , Leona Odole , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

In this paper we aim to apply an adaptation of the recently developed technique of sparse identification of nonlinear dynamical systems on a Duffing experimental setup with cubic feedback of the output. The Duffing oscillator described by…

Classical Physics · Physics 2018-05-10 Saeideh Khatiry Goharoodi , Kevin Dekemele , Luc Dupre , Mia Loccufier , Guillaume Crevecoeur
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