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This note gives an exponential tail approximation for the extinction time of a subcritical multitype branching process arising from the SIR epidemic model on a random graph with given degrees, where the type corresponds to the vertex…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Peter Windridge

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

We establish a general sufficient condition for a sequence of Galton Watson branching processes in varying environment to converge weakly. This condition extends previous results by allowing offspring distributions to have infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Vincent Bansaye , Florian Simatos

Let $Z_{n,}n=0,1,...,$ be a branching process evolving in the random environment generated by a sequence of iid generating functions $% f_{0}(s),f_{1}(s),...,$ and let $S_{0}=0,S_{k}=X_{1}+...+X_{k},k\geq 1,$ be the associated random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-09 V. Vatutin , A. E. Kyprianou

Motivated by various recent experimental findings, we propose a dynamical model of intermittently self-propelled particles: active particles that recurrently switch between two modes of motion, namely an active run-state and a turn state,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-10-30 Agniva Datta , Carsten Beta , Robert Großmann

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

We consider processes that coincide with a given diffusion process except on the boundaries of a finite collection of domains. The behavior on each of the boundaries is asymmetric: the process is much more likely to enter the interior of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

We consider a branching random walk on a multi($Q$)-type, supercritical Galton-Watson tree which satisfies Kesten-Stigum condition. We assume that the displacements associated with the particles of type $Q$ have regularly varying tails of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ayan Bhattacharya , Krishanu Maulik , Zbigniew Palmowski , Parthanil Roy

We study a catalytic branching process (CBP) with any finite set of catalysts. This model describes a system of particles where the movement is governed by a Markov chain with arbitrary finite or countable state space and the branching may…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Ekaterina Vl. Bulinskaya

We consider continuous state branching processes (CSBP) with additional multiplicative jumps modeling dramatic events in a random environment. These jumps are described by a L\'evy process with bounded variation paths. We construct a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Vincent Bansaye , Juan Carlos Pardo Millan , Charline Smadi

We investigate the long-time behavior of the survival probability of a tagged particle in a single-file diffusion in a finite interval. The boundary conditions are of two types: 1) one boundary is absorbing the second is reflecting, 2) both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-01 Artem Ryabov

The probability distribution of a function of a subsystem conditioned on the value of the function of the whole, in the limit when the ratio of their values goes to zero, has a limit law: It equals the unconditioned marginal probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-01-18 Yu-Chen Cheng , Hong Qian , Yizhe Zhu

While there are many well-known and extensively tested results involving diffusion-limited binary reactions, reactions involving subdiffusive reactant species are far less understood. Subdiffusive motion is characterized by a mean square…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. J. Ruiz-Lorenzo , S. B. Yuste , Katja Lindenberg

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi$. We study the convergence rates of the martingale $W_n = Z_n/ E[Z_n| \xi]$ to its limit $W$. The following results about the convergence almost sur (a.s.), in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Chunmao Huang , Quansheng Liu

We consider a slightly subcritical branching Brownian motion with absorption, where particles move as Brownian motions with drift $-\sqrt{2+2\varepsilon}$, undergo dyadic fission at rate $1$, and are killed when they reach the origin. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Jiaqi Liu

We study asymptotic properties of conditional least squares estimators for the drift parameters of two-factor affine diffusions based on continuous time observations. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, critical and supercritical. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Beáta Bolyog , Gyula Pap

Consider a heavy-tailed branching process (denoted by $Z_{n}$) in random environments, under the condition which infers that $\mathbb{E}\log m(\xi_{0})=\infty$. We show that (1) there exists no proper $c_{n}$ such that $\{Z_{n}/c_{n}\}$ has…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Wenming Hong , Xiaoyue Zhang

We consider the time evolution of a lattice branching random walk with local perturbations. Under certain conditions, we prove the Carleman type estimation for the moments of a particle subpopulation number and show the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Yaqin Feng , Stanislav Molchanov , Elena Yarovaya

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

We consider a continuous-time branching random walk in the inhomogeneous breeding potential $\beta|.|^p$, where $\beta > 0$, $p \geq 0$. We prove that the population almost surely explodes in finite time if $p > 1$ and doesn't explode if $p…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Sergey Bocharov , Simon C. Harris