Related papers: Asymptotic Analysis for Spectral Risk Measures Par…
This paper presents non-parametric estimates of spectral risk measures applied to long and short positions in 5 prominent equity futures contracts. It also compares these to estimates of two popular alternative measures, the Value-at-Risk…
Let X,Y,B be three independent random variables such that $X$ has the same distribution function as Y B. Assume that B is a Beta random variable with positive parameters a,b and Y has distribution function H. Pakes and Navarro (2007) show…
In the paper we continue to investigate measures of dependence for random variables with infinite variance. The asymptotic of spectral covariance $\rho (X_{(0,0)}, X_{(k_1,k_2)})$ for linear random field $X_{k,l}=\sum_{i,j=0}^\infty…
In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameters $(\alpha,\beta)$, of the stability parameter $\varrho := \alpha + \beta$, and of the mean $\mu$ of the innovation $\vare_k$,…
In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…
We consider the problem of risk diversification of $\alpha$-stable heavy tailed risks. We study the behaviour of the aggregated Value-at-Risk, with particular reference to the impact of different tail dependence structures on the limits to…
For a given parametric probability model, we consider the risk of the maximum likelihood estimator with respect to $\alpha$-divergence, which includes the special cases of Kullback--Leibler divergence, the Hellinger distance and $\chi^2$…
We study the behavior of high-dimensional robust regression estimators in the asymptotic regime where $p/n$ tends to a finite non-zero limit. More specifically, we study ridge-regularized estimators, i.e…
We investigate the relative information content of six measures of dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ for large or extreme events for several models of interest for financial time series. The six measures of dependence are…
In this paper, we derive higher-order expansions of $L$-statistics of independent risks $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ under conditions on the underlying distribution function $F$. The new results are applied to derive the asymptotic expansions of…
The left tail of the implied volatility skew, coming from quotes on out-of-the-money put options, can be thought to reflect the market's assessment of the risk of a huge drop in stock prices. We analyze how this market information can be…
Systemic risk measures quantify the potential risk to an individual financial constituent arising from the distress of entire financial system. As a generalization of two widely applied risk measures, Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall,…
Is considered the asymptotical behavior of spectral function $\rho(\lambda, \epsilon),\epsilon > 0$, of one family of self adjoint differential operators of second order, defined in space $L_2[0,+\infty)$ with potentials, depending on…
Risk measures such as Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) focus on extreme losses, where scarce tail data makes model error unavoidable. To hedge misspecification, one evaluates worst-case tail risk over an ambiguity set. Using Extreme Value…
Value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are common high quantile-based risk measures adopted in financial regulations and risk management. In this paper, we propose a tail risk measure based on the most probable maximum size of risk…
One of the central objectives of modern risk management is to find a set of risks where the probability of multiple simultaneous catastrophic events is negligible. That is, risks are taken only when their joint behavior seems sufficiently…
The asymptotic properties of the variances of the spatial autoregressive model $X_{k,\ell}=\alpha X_{k-1,\ell}+\beta X_{k,\ell-1}+\gamma X_{k-1,\ell-1}+\epsilon_{k,\ell}$ are investigated in the unit root case, that is when the parameters…
The purpose of this paper is to pursue our study of rho-estimators built from i.i.d. observations that we defined in Baraud et al. (2014). For a \rho-estimator based on some model S (which means that the estimator belongs to S) and a true…
We derive a closed-form expression capturing the degree of Relative Risk Aversion (RRA) of investors for non-"fair" lotteries. We argue that our formula is superior to earlier methods that have been proposed, as it is a function of only…
We study asymptotics of the spectral measure of a randomly chosen partial automorphism of a rooted tree. To every partial automorphism $x$ we assign its action matrix $A_x$. It is shown that the uniform distribution on eigenvalues of $A_x$…