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Large language models with a huge number of parameters, when trained on near internet-sized number of tokens, have been empirically shown to obey neural scaling laws: specifically, their performance behaves predictably as a power law in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Alexander Maloney , Daniel A. Roberts , James Sully

This article proposes a Bayesian nonparametric method for forecasting, imputation, and clustering in sparsely observed, multivariate time series data. The method is appropriate for jointly modeling hundreds of time series with widely…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Feras A. Saad , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We present the nested Chinese restaurant process (nCRP), a stochastic process which assigns probability distributions to infinitely-deep, infinitely-branching trees. We show how this stochastic process can be used as a prior distribution in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-08-27 David M. Blei , Thomas L. Griffiths , Michael I. Jordan

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

We consider a random matrix model with both pairwise and non-pairwise contracted indices. The partition function of the matrix model is similar to that appearing in some replicated systems with random tensor couplings, such as the p-spin…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2019-12-06 Luca Lionni , Naoki Sasakura

This paper introduces a general class of hierarchical nonparametric prior distributions. The random probability measures are constructed by a hierarchy of generalized species sampling processes with possibly non-diffuse base measures. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-16 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Luca Rossini

In this paper we introduce a model of spatial network growth in which nodes are placed at randomly selected locations on a unit square in $\mathbb{R}^2$, forming new connections to old nodes subject to the constraint that edges do not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-12 Garvin Haslett , Seth Bullock , Markus Brede

Non-Gaussian likelihoods, ubiquitous throughout cosmology, are a direct consequence of nonlinearities in the physical model. Their treatment requires Monte-Carlo Markov-chain or more advanced sampling methods for the determination of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-24 Lennart Röver , Lea Carlotta Bartels , Björn Malte Schäfer

Cross-classified data frequently arise in scientific fields such as education, healthcare, and social sciences. A common modeling strategy is to introduce crossed random effects within a regression framework. However, this approach often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shota Takeishi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

This paper addresses the general problem of modelling and learning rank data with ties. We propose a probabilistic generative model, that models the process as permutations over partitions. This results in super-exponential combinatorial…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-10-05 Tran The Truyen , Dinh Q. Phung , Svetha Venkatesh

We introduce a non-growth model that generates the power-law distribution with the Zipf exponent. There are N elements, each of which is characterized by a quantity, and at each time step these quantities are redistributed through binary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-27 Suhan Ree

We use a model whose rules were inspired by population genetics, the random capability growth model, to describe the statistical details observed in experiments of fragmentation of brittle platelike objects, and in particular the existence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 M. A. F. Gomes , Viviane M. de Oliveira

Motivated by an increasing demand for models that can effectively describe features of complex multivariate time series, e.g. from sensor data in biomechanics, motion analysis, and sports science, we introduce a novel state-space modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Alice Giampino , Bernardo Nipoti , Marina Vannucci , Michele Guindani

A particle system is said to be non-exchangeable if two particles cannot be exchanged without modifying the overall dynamics. Because of this property, the classical mean-field approach fails to provide a limit equation when the number of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Nathalie Ayi , Nastassia Pouradier Duteil

We establish scaling limit theorems for the up-down ordered Chinese restaurant processes (oCRPs) of Rogers and Winkel as processes in a space of interval partitions. As previously conjectured, the limits are self-similar diffusions…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Quan Shi , Matthias Winkel

It is possible to represent each of a number of Markov chains as an evolving sequence of connected subsets of a directed acyclic graph that grow in the following way: initially, all vertices of the graph are unoccupied, particles are fed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Steven N. Evans , Rudolf Gruebel , Anton Wakolbinger

Ewens-Pitman's partition structure arises as a system of sampling consistent probability distributions on set partitions induced by the Pitman-Yor process. It is widely used in statistical applications, particularly in species sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Jan Greve

We study a class of growth processes in which clusters evolve via exchange of particles. We show that depending on the rate of exchange there are three possibilities: I) Growth: Clusters grow indefinitely; II) Gelation: All mass is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

We prove a large deviations principle for the empirical law of the block sizes of a uniformly distributed non-crossing partition. As an application we obtain a variational formula for the maximum of the support of a compactly supported…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Janosch Ortmann