English
Related papers

Related papers: Robust Synthetic Control

200 papers

The Synthetic Control method (SC) has become a valuable tool for estimating causal effects. Originally designed for single-treated unit scenarios, it has recently found applications in high-dimensional disaggregated settings with multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Ye Shen , Rui Song , Alberto Abadie

The purpose of this work is to transport the information from multiple randomized controlled trials to the target population where we only have the control group data. Previous works rely critically on the mean exchangeability assumption.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Yuhang Zhang , Yue Liu , Zhihua Zhang

To address the challenges of reliable statistical inference in high-dimensional models, we introduce the Synthetic-data Regularized Estimator (SRE). Unlike traditional regularization methods, the SRE regularizes the complex target model via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Weihao Li , Dongming Huang

Synthetic control methods have gained popularity among causal studies with observational data, particularly when estimating the impacts of the interventions that are implemented to a small number of large units. Implementing the synthetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-29 Gyuhyeong Goh , Jisang Yu

This paper addresses data-driven control of continuous-time systems. We develop a framework based on synthesis operators associated with input and state trajectories. A key advantage of the proposed method is that it does not require the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Masashi Wakaiki

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental problem in the analysis and interpretation of synthetic control (SC) methods. We develop conditional prediction intervals in the SC framework, and provide conditions under which these intervals…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Rocio Titiunik

We will present a new general framework for robust and adaptive control that allows for distributed and scalable learning and control of large systems of interconnected linear subsystems. The control method is demonstrated for a linear…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Dimitar Ho , John C. Doyle

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

We propose a generalization of the synthetic control and interventions methods to the setting with dynamic treatment effects. We consider the estimation of unit-specific treatment effects from panel data collected under a general treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Anish Agarwal , Sukjin Han , Dwaipayan Saha , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Haeyeon Yoon

This paper examines methods of causal inference based on groupwise matching when we observe multiple large groups of individuals over several periods. We formulate causal inference validity through a generalized matching condition,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Ratzanyel Rincón , Kyungchul Song

The synthetic control method is often applied to problems with one treated unit and a small number of control units. A common inferential task in this setting is to test null hypotheses regarding the average treatment effect on the treated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Lihua Lei , Timothy Sudijono

Ensuring the generalisability of clinical machine learning (ML) models across diverse healthcare settings remains a significant challenge due to variability in patient demographics, disease prevalence, and institutional practices. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Bradley Segal , Joshua Fieggen , David Clifton , Lei Clifton

Matching promises transparent causal inferences for observational data, making it an intuitive approach for many applications. In practice, however, standard matching methods often perform poorly compared to modern approaches such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Jonathan Che , Xiang Meng , Luke Miratrix

The combination of machine learning with control offers many opportunities, in particular for robust control. However, due to strong safety and reliability requirements in many real-world applications, providing rigorous statistical and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

We study the problem of learning personalized decision policies from observational data while accounting for possible unobserved confounding. Previous approaches, which assume unconfoundedness, i.e., that no unobserved confounders affect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

This paper considers the problem of decentralized analysis and control synthesis to verify and ensure properties like stability and dissipativity of a large-scale networked system comprised of linear subsystems interconnected in an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-05 Shirantha Welikala , Hai Lin , Panos Antsaklis

The article deals with the problem of synthesis of an adaptive observer of state variables of a linear time-varying SISO dynamic system. It is assumed that the control signal and the output variable are measurable. It is assumed that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alexey Bobtsov , Nikolay Nikolaev , Romeo Ortega , Olga Slita , Olga Kozachek

Causal machine learning has the potential to revolutionize decision-making by combining the predictive power of machine learning algorithms with the theory of causal inference. However, these methods remain underutilized by the broader…

We present a novel framework for synthesizing patient data with complex covariates (e.g., eye scans) paired with longitudinal observations (e.g., visual acuity over time), addressing privacy concerns in healthcare research. Our approach…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Simon Deltadahl , Andreu Vall , Vijay Ivaturi , Niklas Korsbo