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Optimization models used to make discrete decisions often contain uncertain parameters that are context-dependent and estimated through prediction. To account for the quality of the decision made based on the prediction, decision-focused…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Noah Schutte , Krzysztof Postek , Neil Yorke-Smith

A meta-model of the input-output data of a computationally expensive simulation is often employed for prediction, optimization, or sensitivity analysis purposes. Fitting is enabled by a designed experiment, and for computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Andrew Gill , David J. Warne , Antony M. Overstall , Clare McGrory , James M. McGree

We consider a distributionally robust formulation of stochastic optimization problems arising in statistical learning, where robustness is with respect to uncertainty in the underlying data distribution. Our formulation builds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Andrzej Ruszczyński , Landi Zhu

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We present a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach to estimate a robustified regression plane in a linear regression setting, when the observed samples are potentially contaminated with adversarially corrupted outliers. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-14 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

In practical optimization problems, we typically model uncertainty as a random variable though its true probability distribution is unobservable to the decision maker. Historical data provides some information of this distribution that we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Arjun Ramachandra , Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Melvyn Sim

In this paper, we consider the contextual robust optimization problem under an out-of-distribution setting. The contextual robust optimization problem considers a risk-sensitive objective function for an optimization problem with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Zhongze Cai , Hansheng Jiang , Xiaocheng Li

Psychiatric neuroscience is increasingly aware of the need to define psychopathology in terms of abnormal neural computation. The central tool in this endeavour is the fitting of computational models to behavioural data. The most prominent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-28 Abraham Nunes , Alexander Rudiuk

We extend Robust Optimization to fractional programming, where both the objective and the constraints contain uncertain parameters. Earlier work did not consider uncertainty in both the objective and the constraints, or did not use Robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Bram L. Gorissen

We use a decision-theoretic framework to study the problem of forecasting discrete outcomes when the forecaster is unable to discriminate among a set of plausible forecast distributions because of partial identification or concerns about…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-18 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a widely-used approach to learn models that are robust against distribution shift. Compared with the standard optimization setting, the objective function in DRO is more difficult to optimize,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Jikai Jin , Bohang Zhang , Haiyang Wang , Liwei Wang

Model explainability is crucial for human users to be able to interpret how a proposed classifier assigns labels to data based on its feature values. We study generalized linear models constructed using sets of feature value rules, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Sanjeeb Dash , Soumyadip Ghosh , Joao Goncalves , Mark S. Squillante

Robust Optimization has traditionally taken a pessimistic, or worst-case viewpoint of uncertainty which is motivated by a desire to find sets of optimal policies that maintain feasibility under a variety of operating conditions. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Matthew Norton , Akiko Takeda , Alexander Mafusalov

Most of the regularization methods such as the LASSO have one (or more) regularization parameter(s), and to select the value of the regularization parameter is essentially equal to select a model. Thus, to obtain a model suitable for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Sumito Kurata , Kei Hirose

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has become a powerful framework for estimation under uncertainty, offering strong out-of-sample performance and principled regularization. In this paper, we propose a DRO-based method for linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Liviu Aolaritei , Soroosh Shafiee , Florian Dörfler

We explore the connection between outlier-robust high-dimensional statistics and non-convex optimization in the presence of sparsity constraints, with a focus on the fundamental tasks of robust sparse mean estimation and robust sparse PCA.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge , Shivam Gupta , Daniel M. Kane , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

Studies on simulation input uncertainty often built on the availability of input data. In this paper, we investigate an inverse problem where, given only the availability of output data, we nonparametrically calibrate the input models and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Aleksandrina Goeva , Henry Lam , Huajie Qian , Bo Zhang

While robust divergence such as density power divergence and $\gamma$-divergence is helpful for robust statistical inference in the presence of outliers, the tuning parameter that controls the degree of robustness is chosen in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shouto Yonekura