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Understanding and predicting environmental phenomena often requires the construction of spatio-temporal statistical models, which are typically Gaussian processes. A common assumption made on Gaussian processes is that of covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Stephen J. Chuter

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Leveraging multivariate spatial dependence to improve the precision of estimates using American Community Survey data and other sample survey data has been a topic of recent interest among data-users and federal statistical agencies. One…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-19 Ryan Janicki , Andrew M. Raim , Scott H. Holan , Jerry Maples

Many forest management planning decisions are based on information about the number of trees by species and diameter per unit area. This information is commonly summarized in a stand table, where a stand is defined as a group of forest…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-04 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee , Aaron R. Weiskittel , Chad Babcock , Bruce D. Cook

We propose multivariate nonstationary Gaussian processes for jointly modeling multiple clinical variables, where the key parameters, length-scales, standard deviations and the correlations between the observed output, are all time…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Rui Meng , Braden Soper , Herbert Lee , Vincent X. Liu , John D. Greene , Priyadip Ray

We wish to contribute to the discussion of "Comparing Consensus Monte Carlo Strategies for Distributed Bayesian Computation" by offering our views on the current best methods for Bayesian computation, both at big-data scale and with smaller…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 David Draper , Alexander Terenin

Efficiently sampling from the P\'olya-Gamma distribution, ${PG}(b,z)$, is an essential element of P\'olya-Gamma data augmentation. Polson et. al (2013) show how to efficiently sample from the ${PG}(1,z)$ distribution. We build two new…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-06 Jesse Windle , Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

Score-based generative modelling (SGM) has proven to be a very effective method for modelling densities on finite-dimensional spaces. In this work we propose to extend this methodology to learn generative models over functional spaces. To…

In this paper a new Bayesian model for sparse linear regression with a spatio-temporal structure is proposed. It incorporates the structural assumptions based on a hierarchical Gaussian process prior for spike and slab coefficients. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Rare cancers affect millions of people worldwide each year. However, estimating incidence or mortality rates associated with rare cancers presents important difficulties and poses new statistical methodological challenges. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Garazi Retegui , Jaione Etxeberria , María Dolores Ugarte

The problem of missing values in multivariable time series is a key challenge in many applications such as clinical data mining. Although many imputation methods show their effectiveness in many applications, few of them are designed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Ye Xue , Diego Klabjan , Yuan Luo

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

In the literature on stochastic frontier models until the early 2000s, the joint consideration of spatial and temporal dimensions was often inadequately addressed, if not completely neglected. However, from an evolutionary economics…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Elisa Fusco , Giuseppe Arbia , Francesco Vidoli , Vincenzo Nardelli

Motivated by a large ground-level ozone dataset, we propose a new computationally efficient additive approximate Gaussian process. The proposed method incorporates a computational-complexity-reduction method and a separable covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Pulong Ma , Bledar A. Konomi , Emily L. Kang

Bayesian model-based spatial clustering methods are widely used for their flexibility in estimating latent clusters with an unknown number of clusters while accounting for spatial proximity. Many existing methods are designed for clustering…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Kun Huang , Huiyan Sang

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams