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In epidemiological surveys, data missing not at random (MNAR) due to survey nonresponse may potentially lead to a bias in the risk factor estimates. We propose an approach based on Bayesian data augmentation and survival modelling to reduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-29 Juho Kopra , Juha Karvanen , Tommi Härkänen

Data missing not at random (MNAR) is a major challenge in survey sampling. We propose an approach based on registry data to deal with non-ignorable missingness in health examination surveys. The approach relies on follow-up data available…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-31 Juho Kopra , Tommi Härkänen , Hanna Tolonen , Juha Karvanen

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

The topic of this paper is prevalence estimation from the perspective of active information. Prevalence among tested individuals has an upward bias under the assumption that individuals' willingness to be tested for the disease increases…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Ola Hössjer , Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Chen Zhao , J. Sunil Rao

Routinely collected nation-wide registers contain socio-economic and health-related information from a large number of individuals. However, important information on lifestyle, biological and other risk factors is available at most for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Tommi Härkänen , Sangita Kulathinal , Arya Panthalanickal Vijayakumar

Acute respiratory diseases are transmitted over networks of social contacts. Large-scale simulation models are used to predict epidemic dynamics and evaluate the impact of various interventions, but the contact behavior in these models is…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-27 Gail E. Potter , Mark S. Handcock , Ira M. Longini, , M. Elizabeth Halloran

Aims: To re-introduce the Heckman model as a valid empirical technique in alcohol studies. Design: To estimate the determinants of problem drinking using a Heckman and a two-part estimation model. Psychological and neuro-scientific studies…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-03 Reka Sundaram-Stukel

Studies have shown that exposure to air pollution, even at low levels, significantly increases mortality. As regulatory actions are becoming prohibitively expensive, robust evidence to guide the development of targeted interventions to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-20 Kwonsang Lee , Dylan S. Small , Francesca Dominici

Network surveys of key populations at risk for HIV are an essential part of the effort to understand how the epidemic spreads and how it can be prevented. Estimation of population values from the sample data has been probematical, however,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Steve Thompson

Overestimation of turnout has long been an issue in election surveys, with nonresponse bias or voter overrepresentation identified as major sources of bias. However, adjusting for nonignorable nonresponse bias is substantially challenging.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Xinyu Li , Naiwen Ying , Kendrick Qijun Li , Xu Shi , Wang Miao

Estimating health indicators for restricted sub-populations is a recurring challenge in epidemiology and public health. When survey data are used, Small Area Estimation (SAE) methods can improve precision by borrowing strength across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Aldo Gardini , Lorenzo Mori

Implementing a lockdown for disease mitigation is a balancing act: Non-pharmaceutical interventions can reduce disease transmission significantly, but interventions also have considerable societal costs. Therefore, decision-makers need near…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-01 Andreas Koher , Frederik Jørgensen , Michael Bang Petersen , Sune Lehmann

Cross-sectional incidence estimation based on recency testing has become a widely used tool in HIV research. Recently, this method has gained prominence in HIV prevention trials to estimate the "placebo" incidence that participants might…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Jianan Pan , Marlena Bannick , Fei Gao

We introduce a method to make inference on the composition of a heterogeneous population using survey data, accounting for the possibility that capture heterogeneity is related to key survey variables. To deal with nonignorable nonresponse,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Veronica Ballerini , Brunero Liseo

Cross-sectional HIV incidence estimation leverages recency test results to determine the HIV incidence of a population of interest, where recency test uses biomarker profiles to infer whether an HIV-positive individual was "recently"…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Qi Wang , Ann Duerr , Fei Gao

Selection bias is a serious potential problem for inference about relationships of scientific interest based on samples without well-defined probability sampling mechanisms. Motivated by the potential for selection bias in (a) estimated…

This paper develops nonparametric methods for the survival analysis of epidemic data based on contact intervals. The contact interval from person i to person j is the time between the onset of infectiousness in i and infectious contact from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah

Accurate cancer risk estimation is crucial to clinical decision-making, such as identifying high-risk people for screening. However, most existing cancer risk models incorporate data from epidemiologic studies, which usually cannot…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Lingxiao Wang , Yan Li , Barry Graubard , Hormuzd Katki

Nonresponse arises frequently in surveys and follow-ups are routinely made to increase the response rate. In order to monitor the follow-up process, callback data have been used in social sciences and survey studies for decades. In modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Wang Miao , Xinyu Li , Ping Zhang , Baoluo Sun

When subjects who respond to requests for data, such as in surveys or post-treatment follow-up, are not representative of the population as a whole, inferences drawn from the data can be misleading. We show that if subjects' accumulated…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-24 Clint Harris , Jonathan T. Eckhardt , Brent Goldfarb
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