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Most computational approaches to Bayesian experimental design require making posterior calculations repeatedly for a large number of potential designs and/or simulated datasets. This can be expensive and prohibit scaling up these methods to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-18 Dennis Prangle , Sophie Harbisher , Colin S Gillespie

We propose a control-oriented optimal experimental design (cOED) approach for linear PDE-constrained Bayesian inverse problems. In particular, we consider optimal control problems with uncertain parameters that need to be estimated by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Madhusudan Madhavan , Alen Alexanderian , Arvind K. Saibaba , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Rebekah D. White

We present a computational framework for estimating the uncertainty in the numerical solution of linearized infinite-dimensional statistical inverse problems. We adopt the Bayesian inference formulation: given observational data and their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Tan Bui-Thanh , Omar Ghattas , James Martin , Georg Stadler

We propose an algorithm for Bayesian functional optimisation - that is, finding the function to optimise a process - guided by experimenter beliefs and intuitions regarding the expected characteristics (length-scale, smoothness, cyclicity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

We introduce Neural Optimal Design of Experiments, a learning-based framework for optimal experimental design in inverse problems that avoids classical bilevel optimization and indirect sparsity regularization. NODE jointly trains a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Babak Maboudi Afkham , Matthias Chung

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

This research concerns design optimization problems involving numerous design parameters and large computational models. These problems generally consist in non-convex constrained optimization problems in large and sometimes complex search…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-20 A. Batou

At present, high-dimensional global optimization problems with time-series models have received much attention from engineering fields. Since it was proposed, Bayesian optimization has quickly become a popular and promising approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Yuyang Chen , Kaiming Bi , Chih-Hang J. Wu , David Ben-Arieh , Ashesh Sinha

Optimal input design is an important step of the identification process in order to reduce the model variance. In this work a D-optimal input design method for finite-impulse-response-type nonlinear systems is presented. The optimization of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Alexander De Cock , Michel Gevers , Johan Schoukens

Experimental designs based on the classical D-optimal criterion minimize the volume of the linear-approximation inference regions for the parameters using local sensitivity coefficients. For nonlinear models, these designs can be unreliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-22 Hana Sulieman

Identifying a low-dimensional informed parameter subspace offers a viable path to alleviating the dimensionality challenge in the sampled-based solution to large-scale Bayesian inverse problems. This paper introduces a novel gradient-based…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Olivier Zahm

We consider the problem of computing optimal experimental design on a finite design space with respect to a compound Bayes risk criterion, which includes the linear criterion for prediction in a random coefficient regression model. We show…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-08 Radoslav Harman , Maryna Prus

We develop adaptive discretization algorithms for locally optimal experimental design of nonlinear prediction models. With these algorithms, we refine and improve a pertinent state-of-the-art algorithm in various respects. We establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Jochen Schmid , Philipp Seufert , Michael Bortz

We introduce a computationally efficient method for the automation of inverse design in science and engineering. Based on simple least-square regression, the underlying dynamic mode decomposition algorithm can be used to construct a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Yunpeng Zhu , Liangliang Cheng , Anping Jing , Hanyu Huo , Ziqiang Lang , Bo Zhang , J. Nathan Kutz

Questions of `how best to acquire data' are essential to modeling and prediction in the natural and social sciences, engineering applications, and beyond. Optimal experimental design (OED) formalizes these questions and creates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Xun Huan , Jayanth Jagalur , Youssef Marzouk

The generation of decision-theoretic Bayesian optimal designs is complicated by the significant computational challenge of minimising an analytically intractable expected loss function over a, potentially, high-dimensional design space. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-07 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree , Christopher C. Drovandi

Optimal experimental design (OED) aims to choose the observations in an experiment to be as informative as possible, according to certain statistical criteria. In the linear case (when the observations depend linearly on the unknown…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Ruhui Jin , Martin Guerra , Qin Li , Stephen Wright

The fundamental computational issues in Bayesian inverse problems (BIP) governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) stem from the requirement of repeated forward model evaluations. A popular strategy to reduce such costs is to replace…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Zhiwei Gao , Liang Yan , Tao Zhou

Bayesian optimization (BO) has shown impressive results in a variety of applications within low-to-moderate dimensional Euclidean spaces. However, extending BO to high-dimensional settings remains a significant challenge. We address this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-11 Shouri Hu , Jiawei Li , Zhibo Cai

An efficient algorithm for the determination of Bayesian optimal discriminating designs for competing regression models is developed, where the main focus is on models with general distributional assumptions beyond the "classical" case of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Holger Dette , Roman Guchenko , Viatcheslav B. Melas
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