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For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Automatic forecasting is the task of receiving a time series and returning a forecast for the next time steps without any human intervention. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for modeling time series, but so far there are no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-27 Giorgio Corani , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

Wearable sensor data offer opportunities for personalized health monitoring, yet deriving actionable insights from their complex, longitudinal data streams is challenging. This paper introduces a framework to learn personalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Ajan Subramanian , Amir M. Rahmani

Climate projections using data driven machine learning models acting as emulators, is one of the prevailing areas of research to enable policy makers make informed decisions. Use of machine learning emulators as surrogates for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Anmol Chaure , Ashok Kumar Behera , Sudip Bhattacharya

We consider the problem of predicting an individual's identity from accelerometry data collected during walking. In a previous paper we introduced an approach that transforms the accelerometry time series into an image by constructing its…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-16 Lily Koffman , Ciprian Crainiceanu , Andrew Leroux

As the hunt for an Earth-like exoplanets has intensified in recent years, so has the effort to characterise and model the stellar signals that can hide or mimic small planetary signals. Stellar variability arises from a number of sources,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-19 Niamh K. O'Sullivan , Suzanne Aigrain

Predicting personality is essential for social applications supporting human-centered activities, yet prior modeling methods with users written text require too much input data to be realistically used in the context of social media. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-04-20 Pierre-Hadrien Arnoux , Anbang Xu , Neil Boyette , Jalal Mahmud , Rama Akkiraju , Vibha Sinha

We investigate a novel non-parametric regression-based clustering algorithm for longitudinal data analysis. Combining natural cubic splines with Gaussian mixture models (GMM), the algorithm can produce smooth cluster means that describe the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Peter Mlakar , Tapio Nummi , Polona Oblak , Jana Faganeli Pucer

Objective: We present a technique for identification and statistical analysis of quasiperiodic spatiotemporal pressure signals recorded from multiple closely spaced sensors in the human colon. Methods: Identification is achieved by…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-06 Lukasz Wiklendt , Marcello Costa , Simon Brookes , Phil G. Dinning

We propose a computationally simple framework for clustering functional data based on Gaussian-process-generated random projections. In this approach, each curve is first projected onto a large collection of independent Gaussian process…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sourav Chakrabarty , Anirvan Chakraborty , Shyamal K. De

A key challenge with controlling complex dynamical systems is to accurately model them. However, this requirement is very hard to satisfy in practice. Data-driven approaches such as Gaussian processes (GPs) have proved quite effective by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Mouhyemen Khan , Akash Patel , Abhijit Chatterjee

When humans navigate a crowed space such as a university campus or the sidewalks of a busy street, they follow common sense rules based on social etiquette. In this paper, we argue that in order to enable the design of new algorithms that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-01-07 Alexandre Robicquet , Alexandre Alahi , Amir Sadeghian , Bryan Anenberg , John Doherty , Eli Wu , Silvio Savarese

With the transition to a smart grid, we are witnessing a significant growth in sensor deployments and smart metering infrastructure in the distribution system. However, information from these sensors and meters are typically unevenly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Shweta Dahale , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

The ever increasing adoption of mobile technologies and ubiquitous services allows to sense human behavior at unprecedented levels of details and scale. Wearable sensors are opening up a new window on human mobility and proximity at the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

Batteryless or so called passive wearables are providing new and innovative methods for human activity recognition (HAR), especially in healthcare applications for older people. Passive sensors are low cost, lightweight, unobtrusive and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Alireza Abedin , S. Hamid Rezatofighi , Qinfeng Shi , Damith C. Ranasinghe

The use of pre-training is an emerging technique to enhance a neural model's performance, which has been shown to be effective for many neural language models such as BERT. This technique has also been used to enhance the performance of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Siwei Liu , Xi Wang , Craig Macdonald , Iadh Ounis

Mobile phone datasets allow for the analysis of human behavior on an unprecedented scale. The social network, temporal dynamics and mobile behavior of mobile phone users have often been analyzed independently from each other using mobile…

Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

With the global population ageing, it is crucial to enable individuals to live independently and safely in their homes. Using ubiquitous sensors such as Passive InfraRed sensors (PIR) and door sensors is drawing increasing interest for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Marina Vicini , Martin Rudorfer , Zhuangzhuang Dai , Luis J. Manso

This paper argues that there has not been enough discussion in the field of applications of Gaussian Process for the fast moving consumer goods industry. Yet, this technique can be important as it e.g., can provide automatic feature…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-19 Rodrigo Rivera , Evgeny Burnaev